Delfino R J, Brummel S, Wu J, Stern H, Ostro B, Lipsett M, Winer A, Street D H, Zhang L, Tjoa T, Gillen D L
Epidemiology Department, School of Medicine, University of California-Irvine, 100 Theory Drive, Irvine, CA 92617-7555, USA.
Occup Environ Med. 2009 Mar;66(3):189-97. doi: 10.1136/oem.2008.041376. Epub 2008 Nov 18.
There is limited information on the public health impact of wildfires. The relationship of cardiorespiratory hospital admissions (n = 40 856) to wildfire-related particulate matter (PM(2.5)) during catastrophic wildfires in southern California in October 2003 was evaluated.
Zip code level PM(2.5) concentrations were estimated using spatial interpolations from measured PM(2.5), light extinction, meteorological conditions, and smoke information from MODIS satellite images at 250 m resolution. Generalised estimating equations for Poisson data were used to assess the relationship between daily admissions and PM(2.5), adjusted for weather, fungal spores (associated with asthma), weekend, zip code-level population and sociodemographics.
Associations of 2-day average PM(2.5) with respiratory admissions were stronger during than before or after the fires. Average increases of 70 microg/m(3) PM(2.5) during heavy smoke conditions compared with PM(2.5) in the pre-wildfire period were associated with 34% increases in asthma admissions. The strongest wildfire-related PM(2.5) associations were for people ages 65-99 years (10.1% increase per 10 microg/m(3) PM(2.5), 95% CI 3.0% to 17.8%) and ages 0-4 years (8.3%, 95% CI 2.2% to 14.9%) followed by ages 20-64 years (4.1%, 95% CI -0.5% to 9.0%). There were no PM(2.5)-asthma associations in children ages 5-18 years, although their admission rates significantly increased after the fires. Per 10 microg/m(3) wildfire-related PM(2.5), acute bronchitis admissions across all ages increased by 9.6% (95% CI 1.8% to 17.9%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease admissions for ages 20-64 years by 6.9% (95% CI 0.9% to 13.1%), and pneumonia admissions for ages 5-18 years by 6.4% (95% CI -1.0% to 14.2%). Acute bronchitis and pneumonia admissions also increased after the fires. There was limited evidence of a small impact of wildfire-related PM(2.5) on cardiovascular admissions.
Wildfire-related PM(2.5) led to increased respiratory hospital admissions, especially asthma, suggesting that better preventive measures are required to reduce morbidity among vulnerable populations.
关于野火对公共卫生影响的信息有限。本研究评估了2003年10月南加州灾难性野火期间,心肺疾病住院人数(n = 40856)与野火相关颗粒物(PM2.5)之间的关系。
利用实测PM2.5、光消光、气象条件以及分辨率为250米的MODIS卫星图像的烟雾信息进行空间插值,估算邮政编码区域层面的PM2.5浓度。采用泊松数据的广义估计方程来评估每日住院人数与PM2.5之间的关系,并对天气、真菌孢子(与哮喘相关)、周末、邮政编码区域层面的人口及社会人口统计学因素进行了校正。
火灾期间2天平均PM2.5与呼吸道疾病住院人数的关联比火灾前或火灾后更强。与野火发生前时期的PM2.5相比,浓烟条件下PM2.5平均增加70微克/立方米与哮喘住院人数增加34%相关。与野火相关的PM2.5关联最强的是65 - 99岁人群(每10微克/立方米PM2.5增加10.1%,95%可信区间为3.0%至17.8%)和0 - 4岁人群(8.3%,95%可信区间为2.2%至14.9%),其次是20 - 64岁人群(4.1%,95%可信区间为 - 0.5%至9.0%)。5 - 18岁儿童中不存在PM2.5与哮喘的关联,不过火灾后他们的住院率显著增加。每10微克/立方米与野火相关的PM2.5,所有年龄段的急性支气管炎住院人数增加9.6%(95%可信区间为1.8%至17.9%),20 - 64岁人群的慢性阻塞性肺疾病住院人数增加6.9%(95%可信区间为0.9%至13.1%),5 - 18岁人群的肺炎住院人数增加6.4%(95%可信区间为 - 1.0%至14.2%)。火灾后急性支气管炎和肺炎住院人数也有所增加。有有限证据表明与野火相关的PM2.5对心血管疾病住院人数有轻微影响。
与野火相关的PM2.5导致呼吸道疾病住院人数增加,尤其是哮喘,这表明需要更好的预防措施来降低脆弱人群的发病率。