National Engineering Research Center for Urban Pollution Control, Tongji University, Shanghai, PR China.
Waste Manag Res. 2011 Apr;29(4):371-8. doi: 10.1177/0734242X10380114. Epub 2010 Aug 10.
A relationship between the waste production and socio-economic factors is essential in waste management. In the present study, the factors influencing municipal solid waste generation in China were investigated by multiple statistical analysis. Twelve items were chosen for investigation: GDP, per capita GDP, urban population, the proportion of urban population, the area of urban construction, the area of paved roads, the area of urban gardens and green areas, the number of the large cities, annual per capita disposable income of urban households, annual per capita consumption expenditure of urban households, total energy consumption and annual per capital consumption for households. Two methodologies from multiple statistical analysis were selected; specifically principal components analysis (PCA) and cluster analysis (CA). Three new dimensions were identified by PCA: component 1: economy and urban development; component 2: energy consumption; and component 3: urban scale. The three components together accounted for 99.1% of the initial variance. The results show that economy and urban development are important items influencing MSW generation. The proportion of urban population and urban population had the highest loadings in all factors. The relationship between growth of gross domestic product (GDP) and production of MSW was not as clear-cut as often assumed in China, a situation that is more likely to apply to developed countries. Energy consumption was another factor considered in our study of MSW generation. In addition, the annual MSW quantity variation was investigated by cluster analysis.
在废物管理中,废物产生与社会经济因素之间存在着必然的联系。在本研究中,通过多元统计分析研究了影响中国城市固体废物产生的因素。选择了 12 个项目进行调查:国内生产总值、人均国内生产总值、城市人口、城市人口比例、城市建设用地面积、城市道路铺装面积、城市园林绿地面积、大城市数量、城市居民人均可支配收入、城市居民人均消费支出、能源消费总量和居民人均生活消费能源。从多元统计分析中选择了两种方法;具体来说,主成分分析(PCA)和聚类分析(CA)。PCA 确定了三个新的维度:组成部分 1:经济和城市发展;组成部分 2:能源消耗;组成部分 3:城市规模。这三个组成部分共同占初始方差的 99.1%。结果表明,经济和城市发展是影响城市生活垃圾产生的重要因素。城市人口比例和城市人口在所有因素中具有最高的负荷。在中国,国内生产总值(GDP)增长与城市垃圾产量之间的关系并不像人们通常认为的那样明确,这种情况更可能适用于发达国家。在我们对城市生活垃圾产生的研究中,还考虑了能源消耗这一因素。此外,还通过聚类分析研究了年度城市垃圾量的变化。