Nephrology and, §Emergency Departments, Hospital Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal;, †Faculdade de Ciências Médicas da Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Centro de Estatística e Aplicações da Universidade de Lisboa-CEAUL, Lisbon, Portugal, ‡Nephrology and Hypertension, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, Ohio.
Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2013 Dec;8(12):2053-63. doi: 10.2215/CJN.12181212. Epub 2013 Sep 5.
The purpose of this study was to determine the accuracy of plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin as a marker of AKI in patients admitted from the emergency department.
DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: In this prospective cohort study, patients (n=616) admitted from the emergency department from March to November of 2008 were classified according to clinical criteria as AKI, transient azotemia, stable CKD, and normal function. Plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin was measured serially. A logistic regression model using clinical characteristics was fitted to the data, and a second model included discretized plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin. Performance of the models was evaluated by Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, net reclassification improvement, integrated discrimination improvement, and predictiveness curve.
Twenty-one percent of patients were classified as AKI; the highest median levels of plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin were in the AKI group (146-174 ng/ml at various time points) and increased with AKI severity (207-244 ng/ml for Acute Kidney Injury Network classification stage>2). The discriminative ability of plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin for AKI diagnosis (area under the curve, 0.77-0.82 at various time points) improved with higher grades of severity (area under the curve, 0.85-0.89 for AKIN>2). Plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin discriminated AKI from normal function and transient azotemia (area under the curve, 0.85 and 0.73, respectively). Patients were classified into three grades of AKI risk according to plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin levels (low, moderate [i.e., the gray zone], and high). Patients with plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin in the high-risk category displayed a 10-fold greater risk of AKI (odds ratio, 9.8; 95% confidence interval, 5.6 to 16.9). The addition of plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin to the clinical model yielded a net reclassification improvement of 94.3% and an integrated discrimination improvement of 0.122.
Plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin is an accurate biomarker for prediction of AKI in patients admitted from the emergency department. This work proposes a three-grade classification of AKI risk based on plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin levels.
本研究旨在确定血浆中性粒细胞明胶酶相关脂质运载蛋白作为急诊科就诊患者急性肾损伤标志物的准确性。
设计、地点、参与者和测量:在这项前瞻性队列研究中,2008 年 3 月至 11 月期间,根据临床标准将急诊科就诊的患者(n=616)分为急性肾损伤、一过性氮质血症、稳定的慢性肾脏病和正常功能。连续测量血浆中性粒细胞明胶酶相关脂质运载蛋白。使用临床特征拟合逻辑回归模型,并使用离散化的血浆中性粒细胞明胶酶相关脂质运载蛋白拟合第二个模型。通过 Hosmer-Lemeshow 拟合优度检验、受试者工作特征曲线下面积、净重新分类改善、综合判别改善和预测曲线评估模型的性能。
21%的患者被归类为急性肾损伤;血浆中性粒细胞明胶酶相关脂质运载蛋白水平最高的是急性肾损伤组(各时间点的 146-174ng/ml),且随着急性肾损伤的严重程度增加(急性肾损伤网络分类阶段>2 时为 207-244ng/ml)。血浆中性粒细胞明胶酶相关脂质运载蛋白对急性肾损伤诊断的判别能力(各时间点的曲线下面积为 0.77-0.82)随严重程度的增加而提高(急性肾损伤网络分类>2 时的曲线下面积为 0.85-0.89)。血浆中性粒细胞明胶酶相关脂质运载蛋白可以区分急性肾损伤与正常功能和一过性氮质血症(曲线下面积分别为 0.85 和 0.73)。根据血浆中性粒细胞明胶酶相关脂质运载蛋白水平,患者被分为三个等级的急性肾损伤风险(低、中[即灰色区域]和高)。血浆中性粒细胞明胶酶相关脂质运载蛋白水平处于高危类别的患者发生急性肾损伤的风险增加了 10 倍(优势比,9.8;95%置信区间,5.6 至 16.9)。将血浆中性粒细胞明胶酶相关脂质运载蛋白添加到临床模型中,可使重新分类的净改善率提高 94.3%,综合判别改善率提高 0.122。
血浆中性粒细胞明胶酶相关脂质运载蛋白是急诊科就诊患者急性肾损伤的准确预测生物标志物。本研究提出了一种基于血浆中性粒细胞明胶酶相关脂质运载蛋白水平的急性肾损伤风险三级分类。