Degenhardt Louisa, Baxter Amanda J, Lee Yong Yi, Hall Wayne, Sara Grant E, Johns Nicole, Flaxman Abraham, Whiteford Harvey A, Vos Theo
National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, University of New South Wales, 2052, Australia; Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, 3053, Australia.
Policy and Epidemiology Group, Queensland Centre for Mental Health Research, Brisbane 4074, Australia; School of Population Health, University of Queensland, Herston 4006, Australia.
Drug Alcohol Depend. 2014 Apr 1;137:36-47. doi: 10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2013.12.025. Epub 2014 Jan 27.
To estimate the global prevalence of cocaine and amphetamine dependence and the burden of disease attributable to these disorders.
An epidemiological model was developed using DisMod-MR, a Bayesian meta-regression tool, using epidemiological data (prevalence, incidence, remission and mortality) sourced from a multi-stage systematic review of data. Age, sex and region-specific prevalence was estimated for and multiplied by comorbidity-adjusted disability weightings to estimate years of life lost to disability (YLDs) from these disorders. Years of life lost (YLL) were estimated from cross-national vital registry data. Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were estimated by summing YLDs and YLLs in 21 regions, by sex and age, in 1990 and 2010.
In 2010, there were an estimated 24.1 million psychostimulant dependent people: 6.9 million cocaine and 17.2 million amphetamines, equating to a point prevalence of 0.10% (0.09-0.11%) for cocaine, and 0.25% (0.22-0.28%) for amphetamines. There were 37.6 amphetamine dependence DALYs (21.3-59.3) per 100,000 population in 2010 and 15.9 per 100,000 (9.3-25.0) cocaine dependence DALYs. There were clear differences between amphetamines and cocaine in the geographic distribution of crude DALYs. Over half of amphetamine dependence DALYs were in Asian regions (52%), whereas almost half of cocaine dependence DALYs were in the Americas (44%, with 23% in North America High Income).
Dependence upon psychostimulants is a substantial contributor to global disease burden; the contribution of cocaine and amphetamines to this burden varies dramatically by geographic region. There is a need to scale up evidence-based interventions to reduce this burden.
评估全球可卡因和苯丙胺依赖的患病率以及这些疾病所致的疾病负担。
使用贝叶斯元回归工具DisMod-MR建立了一个流行病学模型,该模型使用了从多阶段系统数据回顾中获取的流行病学数据(患病率、发病率、缓解率和死亡率)。对年龄、性别和地区特异性患病率进行了估计,并乘以合并症调整后的残疾权重,以估计这些疾病导致的残疾生命年(YLDs)。根据跨国生命登记数据估计了生命损失年数(YLL)。通过汇总1990年和2010年21个地区按性别和年龄划分的YLDs和YLLs,估计了残疾调整生命年(DALYs)。
2010年,估计有2410万精神兴奋剂依赖者:690万可卡因依赖者和1720万苯丙胺依赖者,可卡因的点患病率为0.10%(0.09 - 0.11%),苯丙胺为0.25%(0.22 - 0.28%)。2010年,每10万人中苯丙胺依赖的DALYs为37.6(21.3 - 59.3),可卡因依赖的DALYs为每10万人15.9(9.3 - 25.0)。在粗DALYs的地理分布上,苯丙胺和可卡因之间存在明显差异。超过一半的苯丙胺依赖DALYs在亚洲地区(52%),而几乎一半的可卡因依赖DALYs在美洲(44%,其中23%在北美高收入地区)。
对精神兴奋剂依赖是全球疾病负担的一个重要因素;可卡因和苯丙胺对这一负担的贡献因地理区域而异。需要扩大基于证据的干预措施以减轻这一负担。