Garcia Richard U, Walters Henry L, Delius Ralph E, Aggarwal Sanjeev
Division of Cardiology, Carman and Ann Adams Department of Pediatrics, Children's Hospital of Michigan, Wayne State University School of Medicine, 3901 Beaubien Blvd, Detroit, MI, 48201-2119, USA.
Division of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, Carman and Ann Adams Department of Pediatrics, Children's Hospital of Michigan, Wayne State University School of Medicine, Detroit, MI, USA.
Pediatr Cardiol. 2016 Feb;37(2):271-7. doi: 10.1007/s00246-015-1273-7. Epub 2015 Sep 30.
Our aim was to evaluate the Vasoactive Inotropic Score (VIS) as a prognostic marker in adolescents following surgery for congenital heart disease. This single-center retrospective chart review included patients 10-18 years of age, who underwent cardiac surgery from 2009 to 2014. Hourly VIS was calculated for the initial 48 postoperative hours using standard formulae and incorporating doses of six pressors. The composite adverse outcome was defined as any one of death, resuscitation or mechanical support, arrhythmia, infection requiring antibacterial therapy, acute kidney injury or neurologic injury. Surgeries were risk-stratified by the type of surgical repair using the validated STAT score. Statistical analysis (SPSS 19.0) included Mann-Whitney U test, Chi-square test, ROC curves, and binary regression analysis. Our cohort (n = 149) had a mean (SD) age of 13.9 (2.4) years and included 97 (65.1 %) males. Maximal VIS at 24 and 48 h following surgery was significantly higher in subjects (n = 27) who suffered an adverse outcome. Subjects with adverse outcome had longer bypass and cross-clamp times, durations of stay in the hospital, and a higher rate of acute kidney injury, compared to those (n = 122) without postoperative adverse outcomes. The area under the ROC for maximum VIS at 24-48 h after surgery was 0.76, with sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values with 95 % CI of 67 (48-82) %, 74 (70-77) %, and 36 (26-44) % and 91 (86-95) %, respectively, at a cutoff >4.75. On binary logistic regression, maximum VIS on second postoperative day remained significantly associated with adverse outcome (OR 1.35; 95 % CI> 1.12-1.64, p = 0.002). Maximal VIS at 24 and 48 h correlated significantly with length of stay and time to extubation. Maximal VIS on the second postoperative day predicts adverse outcome in adolescents following cardiac surgery. This simple yet robust prognostic indicator may aid in risk stratification and targeted interventions in this population.
我们的目的是评估血管活性药物肌力评分(VIS)作为先天性心脏病青少年术后预后标志物的价值。这项单中心回顾性病历审查纳入了2009年至2014年期间接受心脏手术的10至18岁患者。使用标准公式并结合六种升压药的剂量,计算术后最初48小时内每小时的VIS。复合不良结局定义为死亡、复苏或机械支持、心律失常、需要抗菌治疗的感染、急性肾损伤或神经损伤中的任何一种。根据使用经过验证的STAT评分的手术修复类型对手术进行风险分层。统计分析(SPSS 19.0)包括曼-惠特尼U检验、卡方检验、ROC曲线和二元回归分析。我们的队列(n = 149)平均(标准差)年龄为13.9(2.4)岁,包括97名(65.1%)男性。术后24小时和48小时出现不良结局的受试者(n = 27)的最大VIS显著更高。与未出现术后不良结局的受试者(n = 122)相比,出现不良结局的受试者体外循环和主动脉阻断时间更长、住院时间更长,急性肾损伤发生率更高。术后24至48小时最大VIS的ROC曲线下面积为0.76,在临界值>4.75时,敏感性、特异性以及阳性和阴性预测值及其95%置信区间分别为67(48 - 82)%、74(70 - 77)%、36(26 - 44)%和91(86 - 95)%。在二元逻辑回归中,术后第二天的最大VIS仍与不良结局显著相关(比值比1.35;95%置信区间>1.12 - 1.64,p = 0.002)。术后24小时和48小时的最大VIS与住院时间和拔管时间显著相关。术后第二天的最大VIS可预测心脏手术后青少年的不良结局。这个简单而可靠的预后指标可能有助于对该人群进行风险分层和有针对性的干预。