Ayers John W, Leas Eric C, Allem Jon-Patrick, Benton Adrian, Dredze Mark, Althouse Benjamin M, Cruz Tess B, Unger Jennifer B
Graduate School of Public Health, San Diego State University, San Diego, California, United States of America.
University of California San Diego School of Medicine, San Diego, California, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2017 Mar 1;12(3):e0170702. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0170702. eCollection 2017.
The reasons for using electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS) are poorly understood and are primarily documented by expensive cross-sectional surveys that use preconceived close-ended response options rather than allowing respondents to use their own words. We passively identify the reasons for using ENDS longitudinally from a content analysis of public postings on Twitter. All English language public tweets including several ENDS terms (e.g., "e-cigarette" or "vape") were captured from the Twitter data stream during 2012 and 2015. After excluding spam, advertisements, and retweets, posts indicating a rationale for vaping were retained. The specific reasons for vaping were then inferred based on a supervised content analysis using annotators from Amazon's Mechanical Turk. During 2012 quitting combustibles was the most cited reason for using ENDS with 43% (95%CI 39-48) of all reason-related tweets cited quitting combustibles, e.g., "I couldn't quit till I tried ecigs," eclipsing the second most cited reason by more than double. Other frequently cited reasons in 2012 included ENDS's social image (21%; 95%CI 18-25), use indoors (14%; 95%CI 11-17), flavors (14%; 95%CI 11-17), safety relative to combustibles (9%; 95%CI 7-11), cost (3%; 95%CI 2-5) and favorable odor (2%; 95%CI 1-3). By 2015 the reasons for using ENDS cited on Twitter had shifted. Both quitting combustibles and use indoors significantly declined in mentions to 29% (95%CI 24-33) and 12% (95%CI 9-16), respectively. At the same time, social image increased to 37% (95%CI 32-43) and lack of odor increased to 5% (95%CI 2-5), the former leading all cited reasons in 2015. Our data suggest the reasons people vape are shifting away from cessation and toward social image. The data also show how the ENDS market is responsive to a changing policy landscape. For instance, smoking indoors was less frequently cited in 2015 as indoor smoking restrictions became more common. Because the data and analytic approach are scalable, adoption of our strategies in the field can inform follow-up survey-based surveillance (so the right questions are asked), interventions, and policies for ENDS.
人们使用电子尼古丁传送系统(ENDS)的原因目前还知之甚少,主要是通过昂贵的横断面调查记录的,这些调查使用预先设定的封闭式回答选项,而不是让受访者用自己的语言表达。我们通过对推特上公开帖子的内容分析,纵向被动识别使用ENDS的原因。在2012年至2015年期间,从推特数据流中抓取了所有包含多个ENDS术语(如“电子烟”或“vape”)的英语公开推文。在排除垃圾信息、广告和转发内容后,保留了表明使用电子烟理由的帖子。然后,基于亚马逊土耳其机器人平台的注释者进行的监督内容分析,推断出使用电子烟的具体原因。2012年,戒烟是使用ENDS最常被提及的原因,在所有与原因相关的推文中,43%(95%置信区间39 - 48)提到了戒烟,例如“直到我尝试了电子烟,我才戒掉烟”,这一比例超过第二大原因两倍多。2012年其他经常被提及的原因包括ENDS的社会形象(21%;95%置信区间18 - 25)、在室内使用(14%;95%置信区间11 - 17)、口味(14%;95%置信区间11 - 17)、相对于可燃烟草的安全性(9%;95%置信区间7 - 11)、成本(3%;95%置信区间2 - 5)和气味宜人(2%;95%置信区间1 - 3)。到2015年,推特上提到的使用ENDS的原因发生了变化。戒烟和在室内使用的提及率均显著下降,分别降至29%(95%置信区间24 - 33)和12%(95%置信区间9 - 16)。与此同时,社会形象提升至37%(95%置信区间32 - 43),无气味的提及率提升至5%(95%置信区间2 - 5),前者在2015年成为所有被提及原因之首。我们的数据表明,人们使用电子烟的原因正从戒烟转向社会形象。数据还显示了ENDS市场如何对不断变化的政策环境做出反应。例如,2015年,随着室内吸烟限制更加普遍,在室内吸烟的提及频率降低。由于数据和分析方法具有可扩展性,在该领域采用我们的策略可为基于后续调查的监测(以便提出正确的问题)、干预措施和ENDS政策提供参考。