Burns Jacob, Boogaard Hanna, Polus Stephanie, Pfadenhauer Lisa M, Rohwer Anke C, van Erp Annemoon M, Turley Ruth, Rehfuess Eva
Institute for Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology, Pettenkofer School of Public Health, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Marchioninistr. 15, Munich, Bavaria, Germany.
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2019 May 20;5(5):CD010919. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD010919.pub2.
Ambient air pollution is associated with a large burden of disease in both high-income countries (HICs) and low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). To date, no systematic review has assessed the effectiveness of interventions aiming to reduce ambient air pollution.
To assess the effectiveness of interventions to reduce ambient particulate matter air pollution in reducing pollutant concentrations and improving associated health outcomes.
We searched a range of electronic databases with diverse focuses, including health and biomedical research (CENTRAL, Cochrane Public Health Group Specialised Register, MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO), multidisciplinary research (Scopus, Science Citation Index), social sciences (Social Science Citation Index), urban planning and environment (Greenfile), and LMICs (Global Health Library regional indexes, WHOLIS). Additionally, we searched grey literature databases, multiple online trial registries, references of included studies and the contents of relevant journals in an attempt to identify unpublished and ongoing studies, and studies not identified by our search strategy. The final search date for all databases was 31 August 2016.
Eligible for inclusion were randomized and cluster randomized controlled trials, as well as several non-randomized study designs, including controlled interrupted time-series studies (cITS-EPOC), interrupted time-series studies adhering to EPOC standards (ITS-EPOC), interrupted time-series studies not adhering to EPOC standards (ITS), controlled before-after studies adhering to EPOC standards (CBA-EPOC), and controlled before-after studies not adhering to EPOC standards (CBA); these were classified as main studies. Additionally, we included uncontrolled before-after studies (UBA) as supporting studies. We included studies that evaluated interventions to reduce ambient air pollution from industrial, residential, vehicular and multiple sources, with respect to their effect on mortality, morbidity and several air pollutant concentrations. We did not restrict studies based on the population, setting or comparison.
After a calibration exercise among the author team, two authors independently assessed studies for inclusion, extracted data and assessed risk of bias. We conducted data extraction, risk of bias assessment and evidence synthesis only for main studies; we mapped supporting studies with regard to the types of intervention and setting. To assess risk of bias, we used the Graphic Appraisal Tool for Epidemiological studies (GATE) for correlation studies, as modified and employed by the Centre for Public Health Excellence at the UK National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE). For each intervention category, i.e. those targeting industrial, residential, vehicular and multiple sources, we synthesized evidence narratively, as well as graphically using harvest plots.
We included 42 main studies assessing 38 unique interventions. These were heterogeneous with respect to setting; interventions were implemented in countries across the world, but most (79%) were implemented in HICs, with the remaining scattered across LMICs. Most interventions (76%) were implemented in urban or community settings.We identified a heterogeneous mix of interventions, including those aiming to address industrial (n = 5), residential (n = 7), vehicular (n = 22), and multiple sources (n = 4). Some specific interventions, such as low emission zones and stove exchanges, were assessed by several studies, whereas others, such as a wood burning ban, were only assessed by a single study.Most studies assessing health and air quality outcomes used routine monitoring data. Studies assessing health outcomes mostly investigated effects in the general population, while few studies assessed specific subgroups such as infants, children and the elderly. No identified studies assessed unintended or adverse effects.The judgements regarding the risk of bias of studies were mixed. Regarding health outcomes, we appraised eight studies (47%) as having no substantial risk of bias concerns, five studies (29%) as having some risk of bias concerns, and four studies (24%) as having serious risk of bias concerns. Regarding air quality outcomes, we judged 11 studies (31%) as having no substantial risk of bias concerns, 16 studies (46%) as having some risk of bias concerns, and eight studies (23%) as having serious risk of bias concerns.The evidence base, comprising non-randomized studies only, was of low or very low certainty for all intervention categories and primary outcomes. The narrative and graphical synthesis showed that evidence for effectiveness was mixed across the four intervention categories. For interventions targeting industrial, residential and multiple sources, a similar pattern emerged for both health and air quality outcomes, with essentially all studies observing either no clear association in either direction or a significant association favouring the intervention. The evidence base for interventions targeting vehicular sources was more heterogeneous, as a small number of studies did observe a significant association favouring the control. Overall, however, the evidence suggests that the assessed interventions do not worsen air quality or health.
AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Given the heterogeneity across interventions, outcomes, and methods, it was difficult to derive overall conclusions regarding the effectiveness of interventions in terms of improved air quality or health. Most included studies observed either no significant association in either direction or an association favouring the intervention, with little evidence that the assessed interventions might be harmful. The evidence base highlights the challenges related to establishing a causal relationship between specific air pollution interventions and outcomes. In light of these challenges, the results on effectiveness should be interpreted with caution; it is important to emphasize that lack of evidence of an association is not equivalent to evidence of no association.We identified limited evidence for several world regions, notably Africa, the Middle East, Eastern Europe, Central Asia and Southeast Asia; decision-makers should prioritize the development and implementation of interventions in these settings. In the future, as new policies are introduced, decision-makers should consider a built-in evaluation component, which could facilitate more systematic and comprehensive evaluations. These could assess effectiveness, but also aspects of feasibility, fidelity and acceptability.The production of higher quality and more uniform evidence would be helpful in informing decisions. Researchers should strive to sufficiently account for confounding, assess the impact of methodological decisions through the conduct and communication of sensitivity analyses, and improve the reporting of methods, and other aspects of the study, most importantly the description of the intervention and the context in which it is implemented.
在高收入国家(HICs)以及低收入和中等收入国家(LMICs),环境空气污染都与巨大的疾病负担相关。迄今为止,尚无系统评价评估过旨在减少环境空气污染的干预措施的有效性。
评估旨在减少环境颗粒物空气污染的干预措施在降低污染物浓度和改善相关健康结局方面的有效性。
我们检索了一系列重点各异的电子数据库,包括健康与生物医学研究数据库(CENTRAL、Cochrane公共卫生小组专业注册库、MEDLINE、Embase、PsycINFO)、多学科研究数据库(Scopus、科学引文索引)、社会科学数据库(社会科学引文索引)、城市规划与环境数据库(Greenfile)以及低收入和中等收入国家数据库(全球健康图书馆区域索引、世界卫生组织图书馆信息系统)。此外,我们还检索了灰色文献数据库、多个在线试验注册库、纳入研究的参考文献以及相关期刊的内容,以试图识别未发表和正在进行的研究,以及未被我们的检索策略识别的研究。所有数据库的最终检索日期为2016年8月31日。
纳入的研究包括随机对照试验和整群随机对照试验,以及几种非随机研究设计,包括对照中断时间序列研究(cITS-EPOC)、符合EPOC标准的中断时间序列研究(ITS-EPOC)、不符合EPOC标准的中断时间序列研究(ITS)、符合EPOC标准的前后对照研究(CBA-EPOC)以及不符合EPOC标准的前后对照研究(CBA);这些被归类为主要研究。此外,我们将无对照前后研究(UBA)纳入作为支持性研究。我们纳入了评估旨在减少来自工业、住宅、车辆和多种来源的环境空气污染的干预措施的研究,以及这些措施对死亡率、发病率和几种空气污染物浓度的影响。我们没有根据人群、环境或对照来限制研究。
在作者团队进行校准练习后,两位作者独立评估研究是否纳入、提取数据并评估偏倚风险。我们仅对主要研究进行数据提取、偏倚风险评估和证据综合;我们针对干预类型和环境对支持性研究进行了梳理。为了评估偏倚风险,我们使用了英国国家卫生与临床优化研究所(NICE)公共卫生卓越中心修改并采用的用于相关性研究的流行病学研究图形评估工具(GATE)。对于每个干预类别,即针对工业、住宅、车辆和多种来源的类别,我们以叙述方式以及使用收获图以图形方式综合证据。
我们纳入了42项主要研究,评估了38种独特的干预措施。这些研究在环境方面具有异质性;干预措施在世界各国实施,但大多数(79%)在高收入国家实施,其余分布在低收入和中等收入国家。大多数干预措施(76%)在城市或社区环境中实施。我们确定了多种不同的干预措施,包括旨在解决工业(n = 5)、住宅(n = 7)、车辆(n = 22)和多种来源(n = 4)的措施。一些特定干预措施,如低排放区和炉灶更换,有多项研究进行了评估,而其他一些措施,如木材燃烧禁令,仅有一项研究进行了评估。大多数评估健康和空气质量结局的研究使用了常规监测数据。评估健康结局的研究大多调查了对一般人群的影响,而很少有研究评估特定亚组,如婴儿、儿童和老年人。未识别到评估意外或不良影响的研究。关于研究偏倚风险的判断不一。关于健康结局,我们评估八项研究(47%)不存在实质性偏倚风险问题,五项研究(29%)存在一些偏倚风险问题,四项研究(24%)存在严重偏倚风险问题。关于空气质量结局,我们判断11项研究(31%)不存在实质性偏倚风险问题,16项研究(46%)存在一些偏倚风险问题,八项研究(23%)存在严重偏倚风险问题。仅由非随机研究组成的证据基础对于所有干预类别和主要结局的确定性为低或非常低。叙述性和图形综合表明,四个干预类别中有效性的证据参差不齐。对于针对工业、住宅和多种来源的干预措施,健康和空气质量结局出现了类似的模式,基本上所有研究要么未观察到任何方向的明确关联,要么观察到有利于干预措施的显著关联。针对车辆来源的干预措施的证据基础更为异质,因为少数研究确实观察到有利于对照的显著关联。然而,总体而言,证据表明评估的干预措施不会使空气质量或健康状况恶化。
鉴于干预措施、结局和方法的异质性,很难就干预措施在改善空气质量或健康方面的有效性得出总体结论。大多数纳入研究要么未观察到任何方向的显著关联,要么观察到有利于干预措施的关联,几乎没有证据表明评估的干预措施可能有害。证据基础凸显了在特定空气污染干预措施与结局之间建立因果关系的相关挑战。鉴于这些挑战,应谨慎解释有效性结果;重要的是要强调,缺乏关联证据并不等同于无关联证据。我们为几个世界区域,特别是非洲、中东、东欧、中亚和东南亚确定了有限的证据;决策者应优先在这些地区制定和实施干预措施。未来,随着新政策的出台,决策者应考虑纳入一个内置评估部分,这有助于进行更系统和全面的评估。这些评估可以评估有效性,还可以评估可行性、保真度和可接受性等方面。
产生更高质量和更统一的证据将有助于为决策提供信息。研究人员应努力充分考虑混杂因素,通过进行敏感性分析并进行交流来评估方法学决策的影响,并改进研究方法及其他方面的报告,最重要的是对干预措施及其实施背景的描述。