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圣安娜风驱动野火烟雾和 PM 水平增加与圣地亚哥县儿科呼吸道就诊次数增加有关。

Increase in Pediatric Respiratory Visits Associated with Santa Ana Wind-Driven Wildfire Smoke and PM Levels in San Diego County.

机构信息

Department of Allergy/Immunology and.

Department of Pediatric Allergy/Immunology and.

出版信息

Ann Am Thorac Soc. 2020 Mar;17(3):313-320. doi: 10.1513/AnnalsATS.201902-150OC.

Abstract

There is significant evidence of increased healthcare utilization from cardiopulmonary causes in adults from exposure to wildfire smoke, but evidence in pediatric age groups is limited. To quantify and examine the healthcare utilization effects of the December 2017 Lilac Fire in San Diego County among pediatric patients at the Rady Children's Hospital (RCH) emergency department and urgent care (UC) clinics. Using data from 2011 to 2017, including data on daily particulate matter <2.5 μm (PM) in an inverse-distance interpolation model and RCH electronic medical records, we retrospectively analyzed pediatric respiratory visits at the RCH emergency department and UC clinics during the Santa Ana wind (SAW)-driven Lilac Fire from December 7 to 16, 2017. An interrupted time series study design was applied as our primary analysis to compare the observed pediatric respiratory visits from December 7 to 16, 2017 to what would have occurred in a counterfactual situation, namely, if the Lilac Fire had not occurred. A complementary descriptive spatial analysis was also used to evaluate the geographic distribution of respiratory visits in relationship to satellite imaging of the Lilac Fire and the associated wind pattern. The Lilac Fire was associated with 16.0 (95% confidence interval [CI], 11.2-20.9) excess respiratory visits per day at the RCH emergency department across all pediatric age groups. Children aged 0 to 5 years had the highest absolute excess respiratory visits per day with 7.3 (95% CI, 3.0-11.7), whereas those aged 6 to 12 years had the highest relative increase in visits, with 3.4 (95% CI, 2.3-4.6). RCH UC clinics had similar results. The top five ZIP codes in San Diego County with the highest standard deviations of age-adjusted respiratory visits were all located generally downwind of the fire perimeter, as expected for the SAW pattern. We have demonstrated an increase in pediatric respiratory visits during the SAW-driven Lilac Fire in San Diego County in a patterned geographic distribution that is attributable to an increase in PM exposure. Younger children were particularly affected. Climate change is expected to result in more frequent and extensive wildfires in the region and will require greater preparedness and adaptation efforts to protect vulnerable populations, such as young children.

摘要

有大量证据表明,成年人接触野火烟雾会导致心肺疾病的医疗保健利用率增加,但在儿科年龄组中的证据有限。本研究旨在量化并分析 2017 年 12 月圣地亚哥县拉迪儿童医院(Rady Children's Hospital,RCH)急诊科和紧急护理(urgent care,UC)诊所儿科患者因兰开斯特火灾(Lilac Fire)而产生的医疗保健利用影响。研究人员使用了 2011 年至 2017 年的数据,包括反距离插值模型中的每日细颗粒物<2.5μm(particulate matter <2.5 μm,PM)数据和 RCH 电子病历数据,回顾性分析了 2017 年 12 月 7 日至 16 日圣安娜风(Santa Ana wind,SAW)驱动的兰开斯特火灾期间 RCH 急诊科和 UC 诊所的儿科呼吸道就诊情况。本研究采用中断时间序列研究设计作为主要分析方法,将 2017 年 12 月 7 日至 16 日观察到的儿科呼吸道就诊情况与反事实情况进行比较,即如果兰开斯特火灾未发生的情况下,儿科呼吸道就诊情况会如何。此外,研究还使用了补充描述性空间分析来评估呼吸道就诊的地理分布与兰开斯特火灾和相关风场的卫星图像之间的关系。结果显示,兰开斯特火灾与 RCH 急诊科所有儿科年龄组的每日 16.0(95%置信区间 [confidence interval,CI],11.2-20.9)例呼吸道就诊额外病例相关。0 至 5 岁儿童的每日呼吸道就诊绝对额外病例数最高,为 7.3(95%CI,3.0-11.7),而 6 至 12 岁儿童的就诊相对增加最高,为 3.4(95%CI,2.3-4.6)。RCH UC 诊所也得到了类似的结果。圣迭戈县五个邮政编码最高的 ZIP 码的年龄调整后呼吸道就诊标准差均位于火灾周边下风处,这与圣安娜风模式一致。研究人员表明,在圣迭戈县圣安娜风驱动的兰开斯特火灾期间,儿科呼吸道就诊增加呈现出有规律的地理分布模式,这归因于 PM 暴露的增加。年幼的儿童受到的影响尤其严重。预计该地区的野火将更加频繁和广泛,气候变化将需要更大的准备和适应工作,以保护弱势群体,如幼儿。

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