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回顾近期美国抗议活动中的 COVID-19 模型。

Reviewing COVID-19 Modelling amidst Recent United States Protests.

机构信息

Temple University College of Public Health, Philadelphia, PA, US.

出版信息

Ann Glob Health. 2020 Jul 6;86(1):76. doi: 10.5334/aogh.2970.

Abstract

The unfortunate death of George Floyd in Minnesota, following police brutality, is deeply regrettable, and the ensuing protests in cities across the United States bring up issues on the potential impacts of the protests on the epidemiology of COVID-19 in the United States. Modelling scientists will need the best time-series estimates of the numbers of protesters in every city where protests took place; the length of time the protests were active, and what distance and routes were covered by the protesters; and the numbers and distribution of security personnel deployed to keep the protests safe, as well as curtail the chaotic exacerbations that were reported across many areas.

摘要

明尼苏达州警察暴力执法导致乔治·弗洛伊德不幸身亡,这令人深感遗憾,而随后在美国各城市发生的抗议活动引发了人们对于这些抗议活动对美国 COVID-19 流行病学可能产生的影响的担忧。建模科学家需要获得有关每个发生抗议活动的城市的抗议者人数的最佳时间序列估计值;抗议活动的持续时间,以及抗议者所覆盖的距离和路线;以及部署的安全人员的数量和分布情况,以确保抗议活动的安全,并遏制许多地区报告的混乱加剧情况。

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