Clinical Epidemiology Center, Research and Development Service, Veterans Affairs Saint Louis Health Care System, Saint Louis, Missouri.
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College for Public Health and Social Justice, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, Missouri.
J Am Soc Nephrol. 2021 Nov;32(11):2851-2862. doi: 10.1681/ASN.2021060734. Epub 2021 Sep 1.
COVID-19 is associated with increased risk of post-acute sequelae involving pulmonary and extrapulmonary organ systems-referred to as long COVID. However, a detailed assessment of kidney outcomes in long COVID is not yet available.
We built a cohort of 1,726,683 US Veterans identified from March 1, 2020 to March 15, 2021, including 89,216 patients who were 30-day survivors of COVID-19 and 1,637,467 non-infected controls. We examined risks of AKI, eGFR decline, ESKD, and major adverse kidney events (MAKE). MAKE was defined as eGFR decline ≥50%, ESKD, or all-cause mortality. We used inverse probability-weighted survival regression, adjusting for predefined demographic and health characteristics, and algorithmically selected high-dimensional covariates, including diagnoses, medications, and laboratory tests. Linear mixed models characterized intra-individual eGFR trajectory.
Beyond the acute illness, 30-day survivors of COVID-19 exhibited a higher risk of AKI (aHR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.86 to 2.04), eGFR decline ≥30% (aHR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.14 to 1.37), eGFR decline ≥40% (aHR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.37 to 1.51), eGFR decline ≥50% (aHR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.51 to 1.74), ESKD (aHR, 2.96; 95% CI, 2.49 to 3.51), and MAKE (aHR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.58 to 1.74). Increase in risks of post-acute kidney outcomes was graded according to the severity of the acute infection (whether patients were non-hospitalized, hospitalized, or admitted to intensive care). Compared with non-infected controls, 30-day survivors of COVID-19 exhibited excess eGFR decline (95% CI) of -3.26 (-3.58 to -2.94), -5.20 (-6.24 to -4.16), and -7.69 (-8.27 to -7.12) ml/min per 1.73 m per year, respectively, in non-hospitalized, hospitalized, and those admitted to intensive care during the acute phase of COVID-19 infection.
Patients who survived COVID-19 exhibited increased risk of kidney outcomes in the post-acute phase of the disease. Post-acute COVID-19 care should include attention to kidney disease.
COVID-19 与涉及肺和肺外器官系统的急性后后遗症(即长 COVID)的风险增加有关。然而,长 COVID 中肾脏结局的详细评估尚不可用。
我们建立了一个由 1726683 名美国退伍军人组成的队列,这些退伍军人是从 2020 年 3 月 1 日至 2021 年 3 月 15 日确定的,其中包括 89216 名 COVID-19 30 天幸存者和 1637467 名未感染对照者。我们检查了急性肾损伤(AKI)、肾小球滤过率(eGFR)下降、终末期肾病(ESKD)和主要不良肾脏事件(MAKE)的风险。MAKE 定义为 eGFR 下降≥50%、ESKD 或全因死亡率。我们使用逆概率加权生存回归,调整了预先确定的人口统计学和健康特征,以及通过算法选择的高维协变量,包括诊断、药物和实验室检查。线性混合模型描述了个体内 eGFR 轨迹。
在急性疾病之外,COVID-19 的 30 天幸存者表现出更高的 AKI 风险(aHR,1.94;95%CI,1.86 至 2.04)、eGFR 下降≥30%(aHR,1.25;95%CI,1.14 至 1.37)、eGFR 下降≥40%(aHR,1.44;95%CI,1.37 至 1.51)、eGFR 下降≥50%(aHR,1.62;95%CI,1.51 至 1.74)、ESKD(aHR,2.96;95%CI,2.49 至 3.51)和 MAKE(aHR,1.66;95%CI,1.58 至 1.74)。根据急性感染的严重程度(患者是否非住院、住院或入住重症监护病房),对急性肾后后果的风险增加进行分级。与未感染对照者相比,COVID-19 的 30 天幸存者在急性 COVID-19 感染期间的非住院、住院和入住重症监护病房的阶段分别表现出过量的 eGFR 下降(95%CI):-3.26(-3.58 至-2.94)、-5.20(-6.24 至-4.16)和-7.69(-8.27 至-7.12)ml/min/1.73m/年。
COVID-19 存活者在疾病的急性后阶段表现出肾脏结局风险增加。急性 COVID-19 后护理应包括对肾脏疾病的关注。