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与食用未加工红肉相关的健康影响:一个证明负担的研究。

Health effects associated with consumption of unprocessed red meat: a Burden of Proof study.

机构信息

Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.

Department of Health Metrics Sciences, School of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.

出版信息

Nat Med. 2022 Oct;28(10):2075-2082. doi: 10.1038/s41591-022-01968-z. Epub 2022 Oct 10.

Abstract

Characterizing the potential health effects of exposure to risk factors such as red meat consumption is essential to inform health policy and practice. Previous meta-analyses evaluating the effects of red meat intake have generated mixed findings and do not formally assess evidence strength. Here, we conducted a systematic review and implemented a meta-regression-relaxing conventional log-linearity assumptions and incorporating between-study heterogeneity-to evaluate the relationships between unprocessed red meat consumption and six potential health outcomes. We found weak evidence of association between unprocessed red meat consumption and colorectal cancer, breast cancer, type 2 diabetes and ischemic heart disease. Moreover, we found no evidence of an association between unprocessed red meat and ischemic stroke or hemorrhagic stroke. We also found that while risk for the six outcomes in our analysis combined was minimized at 0 g unprocessed red meat intake per day, the 95% uncertainty interval that incorporated between-study heterogeneity was very wide: from 0-200 g d. While there is some evidence that eating unprocessed red meat is associated with increased risk of disease incidence and mortality, it is weak and insufficient to make stronger or more conclusive recommendations. More rigorous, well-powered research is needed to better understand and quantify the relationship between consumption of unprocessed red meat and chronic disease.

摘要

对暴露于风险因素(如食用红肉)的潜在健康影响进行特征描述,对于为健康政策和实践提供信息至关重要。此前评估红肉摄入量影响的荟萃分析得出的结果存在差异,并且没有正式评估证据强度。在这里,我们进行了一项系统评价,并实施了一种元回归-放宽传统的对数线性假设,并纳入了研究间的异质性-以评估未加工红肉消费与六种潜在健康结果之间的关系。我们发现,未加工红肉消费与结直肠癌、乳腺癌、2 型糖尿病和缺血性心脏病之间存在微弱的关联证据。此外,我们没有发现未加工红肉与缺血性卒中和出血性卒中有任何关联。我们还发现,虽然我们分析中六种结局的综合风险在每天 0 克未加工红肉摄入时最小化,但纳入研究间异质性的 95%置信区间非常宽:0-200 克/天。虽然有一些证据表明食用未加工的红肉与疾病发病率和死亡率的增加有关,但这种证据很微弱,不足以做出更强或更具结论性的建议。需要更严格、更有力的研究来更好地理解和量化未加工红肉消费与慢性疾病之间的关系。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3d7d/9556326/6e6f792197ec/41591_2022_1968_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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