School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100069, China.
Health Management Center, the Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning 116023, China.
Chin Med J (Engl). 2023 Aug 5;136(15):1832-1838. doi: 10.1097/CM9.0000000000002524.
Measuring the health of the population is of great significance to the development of a region. We aimed to estimate the population, probability of death, and quality of life in western China.
We calculated the age-specific mortality rate and prevalence rate of diseases and injuries using the Full Population Database and the Home Page of Inpatient Medical Record. We used multiple interpolation methods to insert missing information from the death data and the model of Kannisto to adjust the mortality rate for elderly individuals. The age-specific prevalence rate of diseases and injuries was adjusted according to the standard ratio of age and methods of equal proportional allocation. Life expectancy was calculated by a life table, and the quality of life was estimated using the Sullivan method.
The total population continued to increase in 2015 to 2019 in the Shaanxi Province, China. The mortality rate of children under five has improved, and the mortality rate of people over 65 is decreasing year by year. Life expectancy increased from 74.66 years in 2015 to 77.19 years in 2019. Even with the total risk of disease and injury, the health-adjusted life expectancy increased by 1.90 years within 5 years, and the number of unhealthy years significantly improved. Health-adjusted life expectancy increased by 1.75 years when only considered the ten major disease systems (tumors; endocrinology, nutrition and metabolism; mental and behavioral disorders; nervous system; sensory diseases; circulatory system; respiratory system; digestive system; genitourinary system; musculoskeletal system and connective tissue), and the number of unhealthy years increased slightly.
In the past five years, Shaanxi Province has made progress in improving life expectancy and controlling the development of chronic diseases. It is necessary to take specific preventive measures and improve the quality of basic public health services.
衡量人口健康状况对地区发展具有重要意义。本研究旨在评估中国西部地区的人口数量、死亡率和生命质量。
我们使用全人群数据库和住院病历首页计算了特定年龄的死亡率和疾病与伤害的患病率。我们采用了多种插值方法对死亡数据和 Kannisto 模型缺失信息进行填补,并对老年人死亡率进行了调整。我们按照年龄标准化比值和等比例分配的方法对疾病与伤害的特定年龄患病率进行了调整。通过生命表计算了预期寿命,采用 Sullivan 方法估计了生命质量。
2015 年至 2019 年,陕西省的总人口持续增加。5 岁以下儿童的死亡率有所改善,65 岁以上人群的死亡率逐年下降。预期寿命从 2015 年的 74.66 岁增加到 2019 年的 77.19 岁。即使考虑到总疾病和伤害风险,5 年内健康调整生命预期增加了 1.90 岁,不健康年数也显著改善。仅考虑十大疾病系统(肿瘤;内分泌、营养和代谢疾病;精神和行为障碍;神经系统疾病;感觉器官疾病;循环系统疾病;呼吸系统疾病;消化系统疾病;泌尿系统疾病;生殖系统疾病;肌肉骨骼系统和结缔组织疾病)时,健康调整生命预期增加了 1.75 岁,不健康年数略有增加。
过去五年,陕西省在提高预期寿命和控制慢性病发展方面取得了进展。有必要采取具体的预防措施,提高基本公共卫生服务的质量。