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结合疫苗和自我意识策略在进化困境方面与各种免疫力的同步分析。

Coupled simultaneous analysis of vaccine and self-awareness strategies on evolutionary dilemma aspect with various immunity.

作者信息

Kabir K M Ariful, Ullah Mohammad Sharif

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka, 1000, Bangladesh.

Department of Mathematics, Feni University, Feni, Bangladesh.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2023 Mar 9;9(3):e14355. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e14355. eCollection 2023 Mar.

Abstract

On evolutionary game theory (EGT), two intervention policies: vaccination and self-awareness, are considered to account for how human attitude impacts disease spreading. Although these interventions can impose, their implementation may depend on the various immunity systems such as shield immunity, innate immunity, waning immunity, natural immunity, and artificial immunity. This framework provides an epidemic SEIRVA (susceptible-exposed-infected-removed-vaccinated-aware) model and two EGT dynamics to analyze the interplay between the immunity system and social learning interventions. The prospect of exploring the individual's strategy and social dilemma for removing a disease could assist design an effective vaccine program and self-awareness policy. Also, we evaluated the indicator of social efficiency deficit (SED) for a social dual-dilemma to measure the presence of a dilemma situation. Extensive theoretical analysis displays that stability includes the reproduction number, conditions for positivity and uniqueness, and the strength number analyzed in the equilibria, including fundamental properties validated by numerical simulation of the discretization method that appraises a variety of graphs at adjusting parameters. We present extensive numerical studies investigating the affect of controlling parameters, individual vulnerability, optimal policies, and individual costs. It turns out that, even with the affordable vaccine, individuals may have very different behaviors; self-awareness strategy plays a vital role in controlling diseases.

摘要

基于进化博弈论(EGT),考虑了两种干预政策:疫苗接种和自我意识,以说明人类态度如何影响疾病传播。尽管这些干预措施可以实施,但其实施可能取决于各种免疫机制,如屏蔽免疫、先天免疫、衰减免疫、自然免疫和人工免疫。该框架提供了一个流行病SEIRVA(易感-暴露-感染-清除-接种-知晓)模型和两种EGT动态机制,以分析免疫系统与社会学习干预措施之间的相互作用。探索个体策略和消除疾病的社会困境的前景有助于设计有效的疫苗接种计划和自我意识政策。此外,我们评估了社会双重困境的社会效率赤字(SED)指标,以衡量困境情况的存在。广泛的理论分析表明,稳定性包括繁殖数、正性和唯一性条件,以及在平衡点分析的强度数,包括通过离散化方法的数值模拟验证的基本特性,该方法在调整参数时评估各种图表。我们进行了广泛的数值研究,调查控制参数、个体易感性、最优政策和个体成本的影响。结果表明,即使有价格合理的疫苗,个体的行为也可能非常不同;自我意识策略在控制疾病方面起着至关重要的作用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2ef4/10025118/dc7ef5aa8850/gr1.jpg

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