Saatci D, Oke J, Harnden A, Hippisley-Cox J
Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Br J Cancer. 2024 Oct;131(6):1032-1042. doi: 10.1038/s41416-024-02786-5. Epub 2024 Jul 14.
Childhood, teenage and young adult (CTYA, 0-24 years) cancers are rare and diverse, making timely diagnosis challenging. We aim to explore symptoms and symptom combinations associated with a subsequent cancer diagnosis and to establish their timeframe.
Using the QResearch Database, we carried out a matched nested case-control study. Associations between pre-specified symptoms encountered in primary care and a subsequent diagnosis of any cancer were explored using conditional logistic regression. Median diagnostic intervals were used to split symptoms into "late" and "early" timeframes to identify relevant early symptoms.
3186 cases and 50,576 controls were identified from a cohort of 3,424,771 CTYA. We identified 12 novel associations, of which hemiparesis [OR 90.9 (95%CI 24.7-335.1), PPV = 1.6%], testicular swelling [OR 186.7 (95%CI 86.1-404.8), PPV = 2.4%] and organomegaly [OR 221.6 (95%CI 28.3-1735.9), PPV = 5.4%] had significant positive predictive values (PPV). Limb pain, a known marker of serious illness in children, was a recurrent early symptom across cancer subtypes. Similar clinical presentations were observed across childhood and TYA cancers.
Using the largest cohort to date, we provide novel information on the time-varying predictive utility of symptoms in the diagnosis of CTYA cancers. Our findings will help to raise clinical and public awareness of symptoms, stratify those at higher-risk and ultimately aid earlier diagnosis.
儿童、青少年及青年(0 - 24岁)癌症罕见且种类多样,及时诊断具有挑战性。我们旨在探索与后续癌症诊断相关的症状及症状组合,并确定其时间范围。
利用QResearch数据库,我们开展了一项匹配的巢式病例对照研究。使用条件逻辑回归探索初级保健中出现的预先指定症状与后续任何癌症诊断之间的关联。中位诊断间隔用于将症状分为“晚期”和“早期”时间范围,以识别相关的早期症状。
从3,424,771名儿童、青少年及青年队列中确定了3186例病例和50,576名对照。我们确定了12种新的关联,其中偏瘫[比值比90.9(95%置信区间24.7 - 335.1),阳性预测值 = 1.6%]、睾丸肿胀[比值比186.7(95%置信区间86.1 - 404.8),阳性预测值 = 2.4%]和器官肿大[比值比221.6(95%置信区间28.3 - 1735.9),阳性预测值 = 5.4%]具有显著的阳性预测值。肢体疼痛是儿童严重疾病的已知标志物,是各癌症亚型中反复出现的早期症状。儿童癌症和青少年及青年癌症中观察到相似的临床表现。
我们使用了迄今为止最大的队列,提供了关于症状在儿童、青少年及青年癌症诊断中随时间变化的预测效用的新信息。我们的发现将有助于提高临床和公众对症状的认识,对高危人群进行分层,并最终有助于早期诊断。