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基于深度神经网络的中国嘉道理生物样本库生物年龄及其影响因素的构建与验证

Construction and validation of a DNN-based biological age and its influencing factors in the China Kadoorie Biobank.

作者信息

Huang Yushu, Da Lijuan, Dong Yue, Li Zihan, Liu Yuan, Li Zilin, Wu Xifeng, Li Wenyuan

机构信息

Center of Clinical Big Data and Analytics of the Second Affiliated Hospital, and Department of Big Data in Health Science School of Public Health, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.

School of Mathematics and Statistics and KLAS, Northeast Normal University, Changchun, Jilin, China.

出版信息

Geroscience. 2025 Mar 7. doi: 10.1007/s11357-025-01577-x.

Abstract

Biological age is an important measure of aging that reflects an individual's physical health and is linked to various diseases. Current prediction models are still limited in precision, and the risk factors for accelerated aging remain underexplored. Therefore, we aimed to develop a precise biological age and assess the impact of socio-demographic and behavioral patterns on the aging process.We utilized Deep Neural Networks (DNN) to construct biological age from participants with physical examinations, blood samples, and questionnaires data from the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) between June 2004 and December 2016. △age, calculated as the residuals between biological age and chronological age, was used to investigate the associations of age acceleration with diseases. Socio-demographics (gender, education attainment, marital status, household income) and lifestyle characteristics (body mass index [BMI], smoking, drinking, physical activity, and sleep) were also assessed to explore their impact on age acceleration. 18,261 participants aged 57 ± 10 years were included in this study. The DNN-based biological age model has demonstrated accurate predictive performance, achieving a mean absolute error of 3.655 years. △age was associated with increased risks of various morbidity and mortality, with the highest associations found for circulatory and respiratory diseases, with hazard ratios of 1.033 (95% CI: 1.023, 1.042) and 1.078 (95% CI: 1.027, 1.130), respectively. Socio-demographics, including being female, lower education, widowed or divorced, and low household income, along with behavioral patterns, such as being underweight, insufficient physical activity, and poor sleep, were associated with accelerated aging. Our DNN model is capable of constructing a precise biological age using commonly collected data. Socio-demographics and lifestyle factors were associated with accelerated aging, highlighting that addressing modifiable risk factors can effectively slow age acceleration and reduce disease risk, providing valuable insights for interventions to promote healthy aging.

摘要

生物学年龄是衰老的一项重要指标,它反映了个体的身体健康状况,并与多种疾病相关。目前的预测模型在精度方面仍存在局限,且加速衰老的风险因素尚未得到充分探索。因此,我们旨在开发一种精确的生物学年龄,并评估社会人口统计学和行为模式对衰老过程的影响。我们利用深度神经网络(DNN),根据2004年6月至2016年12月期间中国嘉道理生物银行(CKB)参与者的体格检查、血液样本和问卷调查数据来构建生物学年龄。将生物学年龄与实际年龄之间的残差计算得出的△年龄,用于研究年龄加速与疾病之间的关联。我们还评估了社会人口统计学因素(性别、教育程度、婚姻状况、家庭收入)和生活方式特征(体重指数[BMI]、吸烟、饮酒、体育活动和睡眠),以探讨它们对年龄加速的影响。本研究纳入了18261名年龄在57±10岁的参与者。基于DNN的生物学年龄模型已显示出准确的预测性能,平均绝对误差为3.655岁。△年龄与各种发病率和死亡率的风险增加相关,其中循环系统疾病和呼吸系统疾病的关联最为显著,风险比分别为1.033(95%置信区间:1.023,1.042)和1.078(95%置信区间:1.027,1.130)。社会人口统计学因素,包括女性、低教育程度、丧偶或离异以及低家庭收入,以及行为模式,如体重过轻、体育活动不足和睡眠不佳,都与加速衰老有关。我们的DNN模型能够使用常见收集的数据构建精确的生物学年龄。社会人口统计学和生活方式因素与加速衰老相关,这突出表明解决可改变的风险因素可以有效减缓年龄加速并降低疾病风险,为促进健康衰老的干预措施提供了有价值的见解。

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