Severe flooding and cause-specific hospitalisation among older adults in the USA: a retrospective matched cohort analysis.

BACKGROUND

Floods are the most common climate-related disaster; yet previous studies have investigated the impact of floods on only a few health outcomes in narrow spatiotemporal settings. We aimed to assess the association between severe flood exposure and cause-specific hospitalisation rates in adults older than 65 years in the contiguous USA.

METHODS

In this retrospective matched cohort analysis, we obtained inpatient claims data from Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries older than 65 years living in the contiguous USA from Jan 1, 2000, to Dec 31, 2016. From each inpatient hospitalisation record, we extracted the admission date, primary International Classification of Diseases, 9th revision, clinical modification (ICD-9-CM) code (or 10th revision [ICD-10-CM] code on or after Oct 1, 2015), and self-reported residential ZIP code. Hospitalisation data were linked with satellite-based, high-resolution historical flood maps from the Global Flood Database by ZIP code. Days during and shortly after a flood exposure were matched to non-flood-affected control days by ZIP code and day-of-year. We estimated relative percentage changes in hospitalisation rates for 13 mutually exclusive, well-defined disease categories during and in the 4 weeks following flood exposure with conditional quasi-Poisson regression models.

FINDINGS

This study captured 72 major flood events and included over 4·5 million hospitalisations occurring over a 17-year period. We observed elevated rates of hospitalisation on average during and following flood exposure for skin diseases (3·1% [95% CI 1·4 to 4·9]), nervous system diseases (2·5% [1·0 to 4·1]), musculoskeletal system diseases (1·3% [0·3 to 2·3]), and injuries or poisoning (1·1% [0·2 to 2·0]). Communities with lower proportions of Black residents experienced exacerbated flood effects for nervous system diseases (7·6% [95% CI 2·8 to 12·6]), whereas skin diseases (6·1% [1·9 to 10·5]) and mental health-related impacts (3·0% [-0·3 to 6·5]) were more pronounced for areas with larger percentages of Black residents during flood exposure.

INTERPRETATION

Among adults older than 65 years, exposure to severe flood events was associated with increased hospitalisation rates for skin diseases, nervous system diseases, musculoskeletal system diseases, and injuries. Different patterns of hospital admission persisted for populations with higher versus lower proportions of Black residents. Our findings indicate a need for targeted flood-specific preparedness and adaptation strategies for socially vulnerable populations, including older individuals and racially minoritised communities.

FUNDING

National Institutes of Health, Harvard Data Science Initiative, and Alfred P Sloan Foundation.