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1990 - 2021年全球及中国育龄期女性多囊卵巢综合征的流行病学研究及2035年预测:基于《2021年全球疾病负担》研究

Global and Chinese epidemiologic study of polycystic ovary syndrome in women of childbearing age, 1990-2021, and projections to 2035: Based on the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study.

作者信息

Liu Junping, Cai Yan, Li Jiaying, Zhang Xiaodan

机构信息

Department of Traditional Medicine, Seventh People's Hospital, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Aug 19;20(8):e0329090. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0329090. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to synthesize and analyze the burden of disease of polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) in women of reproductive age globally and in China from 1990 to 2021.

METHODS

The study utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 database, which contains detailed epidemiologic information from 204 countries and territories. Incidence, prevalence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) were assessed. Bayesian age-period cohort modeling was applied to project trends in the burden of disease up to 2035.

RESULTS

Global trend: the incidence of polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) increased slightly from 58.84/100,000 in 1990 to 60.30/100,000 in 2021. there was a significant increase in prevalence of 29.66% and an increase in disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of 28.37%. Trends in China: Despite a slight decrease in prevalence (-1.96%), the prevalence of polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) and the number of DALYs in China increased substantially by 86.95% and 86.56%, respectively. Sociodemographic impact: Countries with higher sociodemographic indices tend to face a higher burden of PCOS. Future projections: BAPC model projections suggest that the prevalence of PCOS will continue to increase globally and in China through 2035.

CONCLUSION

These findings highlight the growing public health challenge posed by polycystic ovary syndrome and emphasize the need to strengthen early identification, health management, and lifestyle interventions, especially in areas with high SDI.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在综合分析1990年至2021年全球及中国育龄期女性多囊卵巢综合征(PCOS)的疾病负担。

方法

本研究使用了《2021年全球疾病负担》数据库中的数据,该数据库包含来自204个国家和地区的详细流行病学信息。评估了多囊卵巢综合征(PCOS)的发病率、患病率和伤残调整生命年(DALYs)。应用贝叶斯年龄-时期队列模型预测至2035年疾病负担的趋势。

结果

全球趋势:多囊卵巢综合征(PCOS)的发病率从1990年的58.84/10万略有上升至2021年的60.30/10万。患病率显著上升了29.66%,伤残调整生命年(DALYs)增加了28.37%。中国趋势:尽管患病率略有下降(-1.96%),但中国多囊卵巢综合征(PCOS)的患病率和伤残调整生命年数分别大幅增加了86.95%和86.56%。社会人口学影响:社会人口学指数较高的国家往往面临更高的PCOS负担。未来预测:BAPC模型预测表明,到2035年,全球及中国PCOS的患病率将持续上升。

结论

这些发现凸显了多囊卵巢综合征对公共卫生构成的日益严峻挑战,并强调需要加强早期识别、健康管理和生活方式干预,尤其是在社会人口学指数较高的地区。

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