Sloan Richard P, Ramakrishnan Rajasekhar
Behavioral Medicine Program, Department of Psychiatry, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY 10032, USA.
Perspect Biol Med. 2006 Autumn;49(4):504-14. doi: 10.1353/pbm.2006.0064.
Among the many recent attempts to demonstrate the medical benefits of religious activity, the methodologically strongest seem to be studies of the effects of distant intercessory prayer (IP). In these studies, patients are randomly assigned to receive standard care or standard care plus the prayers or "healing intentions" of distant intercessors. Most of the scientific community has dismissed such research, but cavalier rejection of studies of IP is unwise, because IP studies appear to conform to the standards of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and, as such, would have a significant advantage over observational investigations of associations between religious variables and health outcomes. As we demonstrate, however, studies of IP fail to meet the standards of RCTs in several critical respects. They fail to adequately measure and control exposure to prayer from others, which is likely to exceed IP and to vary widely from subject to subject, and whose magnitude is unknown. This supplemental prayer so greatly attenuates the differences between the treatment and control groups that sample sizes are too large to justify studies of IP. Further, IP studies generally do not specify the outcome variables, raising problems of multiple comparisons and Type 1 errors. Finally, these studies claim findings incompatible with current views of the physical universe and consciousness. Unless these problems are solved, studies of IP should not be conducted.
在近期诸多旨在证明宗教活动对医学有益的尝试中,方法学上最为严谨的似乎是对远距离代祷(IP)效果的研究。在这些研究中,患者被随机分配接受标准护理或标准护理加上远距离代祷者的祈祷或“治愈意愿”。科学界大多对这类研究不予理会,但轻率地拒绝IP研究是不明智的,因为IP研究似乎符合随机对照试验(RCT)的标准,因此,相较于对宗教变量与健康结果之间关联的观察性研究,具有显著优势。然而,正如我们所证明的,IP研究在几个关键方面未能达到RCT的标准。它们未能充分衡量和控制他人祈祷的影响,这种影响可能超过IP,且个体差异很大,其程度也未知。这种额外的祈祷极大地削弱了治疗组和对照组之间的差异,以至于样本量过大,使得IP研究失去了合理性。此外,IP研究通常未明确结果变量,引发了多重比较和一类错误的问题。最后,这些研究声称的结果与当前关于物质宇宙和意识的观点不相容。除非这些问题得到解决,否则不应进行IP研究。