Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh Medical School, Edinburgh, UK.
Lancet. 2010 Mar 27;375(9720):1083-9. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(10)60060-8.
Previous estimates of the global burden of disease for children have not included much information from China, leading to a large gap in data. We identified the main causes of deaths in neonates (<1 month), postneonatal infants (1-11 months), and children (<5 years) in China using information that was available to the public.
The Child Health Epidemiology Reference Group in collaboration with colleagues from Peking University systematically searched Chinese databases that were available to the public. Information was obtained from the Chinese Ministry of Health and Bureau of Statistics websites, Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure database, and Chinese Health Statistics yearbooks for 1990-2008. We also obtained information from 206 high-quality community-based longitudinal studies of different causes of deaths in children (<5 years) that were written in the Chinese language. A statistical model was developed to estimate the total number of deaths in children according to provinces, age groups, and main causes.
During 1990-2008, the mortality rates in neonates, postneonatal infants, and children were reduced by 70% (from 34.0 to 10.2 per 1000 livebirths), 72% (from 53.5 to 14.9 per 1000 livebirths), and 71% (from 64.6 to 18.5 per 1000 livebirths), respectively, meeting the targets set in the Millennium Development Goal 4. The leading causes of deaths in 2008 were pneumonia, birth asphyxia, and preterm birth complications, each accounting for 15-17% of all deaths. Congenital abnormalities and accidents increased in importance during this period, contributing to 11% and 10% of child deaths, respectively. Sudden infant death syndrome contributed to 5% of deaths in children.
Publically available Chinese databases contain much important information that has been underused in the estimation of global and regional burden of disease. On the basis of trends, preterm birth complications are expected to become the leading cause of child mortality in China, whereas deaths from congenital abnormalities, accidents, and sudden infant death syndrome are predicted to continue increasing in importance in the long term.
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
此前针对儿童疾病全球负担的评估并未纳入中国的大量信息,因此导致数据缺口较大。本研究通过使用公开可得的信息,确定了中国新生儿(<1 个月)、晚新生儿(1-11 个月)和儿童(<5 岁)的主要死因。
儿童健康流行病学参考组与北京大学的同事合作,系统地检索了公开可得的中国数据库。信息来自中国卫生部和统计局网站、中国国家知识基础设施数据库以及 1990-2008 年的中国卫生统计年鉴。我们还从 206 项针对不同儿童(<5 岁)死因的高质量社区纵向研究中获取了信息,这些研究均为中文文献。我们采用统计模型,根据省份、年龄组和主要死因来估计儿童总死亡人数。
1990-2008 年,新生儿、晚新生儿和儿童的死亡率分别下降了 70%(从每 1000 例活产 34.0 降至 10.2)、72%(从每 1000 例活产 53.5 降至 14.9)和 71%(从每 1000 例活产 64.6 降至 18.5),达到了千年发展目标 4 规定的目标。2008 年,导致儿童死亡的主要原因是肺炎、出生窒息和早产并发症,分别占所有死亡的 15-17%。在此期间,先天异常和意外事故的重要性逐渐增加,分别占儿童死亡的 11%和 10%。婴儿猝死综合征导致 5%的儿童死亡。
公开可得的中国数据库包含大量重要信息,但在评估全球和区域疾病负担方面并未得到充分利用。基于趋势,早产并发症预计将成为中国儿童死亡的主要原因,而先天异常、意外事故和婴儿猝死综合征的死亡预计将在长期内继续增加。
比尔及梅琳达·盖茨基金会。