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中国北京大流行(H1N1)2009 实际病例数的估计。

Estimates of the true number of cases of pandemic (H1N1) 2009, Beijing, China.

机构信息

Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Emerg Infect Dis. 2010 Nov;16(11):1786-8. doi: 10.3201/eid1611.100323.

Abstract

During 2009, a total of 10,844 laboratory-confirmed cases of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 were reported in Beijing, People's Republic of China. However, because most cases were not confirmed through laboratory testing, the true number is unknown. Using a multiplier model, we estimated that ≈1.46-2.30 million pandemic (H1N1) 2009 infections occurred.

摘要

2009 年期间,中华人民共和国北京市共报告实验室确诊的甲型 H1N1 流感病例 10844 例。然而,由于大多数病例未经实验室确诊,因此实际病例数尚不清楚。使用倍增模型估计,北京市发生的甲型 H1N1 流感 2009 感染人数约为 146 万至 230 万例。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c1ed/3294507/7d42aba52abb/10-0323-F.jpg

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