Brown Derek S, Thompson William W, Zack Matthew M, Arnold Sarah E, Barile John P
Brown School, Washington University in St. Louis, One Brookings Drive, Campus Box 1196, St. Louis, MO, 63130, USA,
Prev Sci. 2015 Jan;16(1):21-30. doi: 10.1007/s11121-013-0437-z.
This study measures the use and relative importance of different measures of health-related quality of life (HRQOL) as predictors of mortality in a large sample of older US adults. We used Cox proportional hazards models to analyze the association between general self-reported health and three "healthy days" (HDs) measures of HRQOL and mortality at short-term (90-day) and long-term (2.5 years) follow-up. The data were from Cohorts 6 through 8 of the Medicare Health Outcomes Survey, a national sample of older adults who completed baseline surveys in 2003-2005. At the long term, reduced HRQOL in general health and all categories of the HDs were separately and significantly associated with greater mortality (P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis of long-term mortality, at least one HD category remained significant for each measure, but the associations between mental health and mortality were inconsistent. For short-term mortality, the physical health measures had larger hazard ratios, but fewer categories were significant. Hazard ratios decreased over time for all measures of HRQOL except mental health. In conclusion, HRQOL measures were shown to be significant predictors of short- and long-term mortality, further supporting their value in health surveillance and as markers of risk for targeted prevention efforts. Although all four measures of HRQOL significantly predicted mortality, general self-rated health and age were more important predictors than the HDs.
本研究衡量了不同的健康相关生活质量(HRQOL)指标在美国老年成年人的大样本中作为死亡率预测指标的使用情况及相对重要性。我们使用Cox比例风险模型来分析自我报告的总体健康状况与HRQOL的三种“健康日”(HDs)指标以及短期(90天)和长期(2.5年)随访时的死亡率之间的关联。数据来自医疗保险健康结果调查的第6至8队列,这是一个在2003 - 2005年完成基线调查的全国老年成年人样本。从长期来看,总体健康状况以及HDs所有类别的HRQOL降低分别与更高的死亡率显著相关(P < 0.001)。在长期死亡率的多变量分析中,每种指标至少有一个HD类别仍然显著,但心理健康与死亡率之间的关联并不一致。对于短期死亡率,身体健康指标的风险比更大,但显著的类别较少。除心理健康外,所有HRQOL指标的风险比随时间下降。总之,HRQOL指标被证明是短期和长期死亡率的重要预测指标,进一步支持了它们在健康监测中的价值以及作为有针对性预防工作风险标志物的价值。虽然所有四项HRQOL指标都显著预测了死亡率,但总体自我评估健康状况和年龄比HDs更重要的预测指标。