疫苗可预防疾病建模中的七个挑战。
Seven challenges in modeling vaccine preventable diseases.
作者信息
Metcalf C J E, Andreasen V, Bjørnstad O N, Eames K, Edmunds W J, Funk S, Hollingsworth T D, Lessler J, Viboud C, Grenfell B T
机构信息
Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and the Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.
Department of Science, Systems and Models, Universitetsvej 1, 27.1, DK-4000 Roskilde, Denmark.
出版信息
Epidemics. 2015 Mar;10:11-5. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2014.08.004. Epub 2014 Aug 27.
Abstract
Vaccination has been one of the most successful public health measures since the introduction of basic sanitation. Substantial mortality and morbidity reductions have been achieved via vaccination against many infections, and the list of diseases that are potentially controllable by vaccines is growing steadily. We introduce key challenges for modeling in shaping our understanding and guiding policy decisions related to vaccine preventable diseases.
摘要
自基本卫生设施引入以来，疫苗接种一直是最成功的公共卫生措施之一。通过针对多种感染进行疫苗接种，已大幅降低了死亡率和发病率，并且可通过疫苗预防的疾病清单正在稳步增加。我们介绍了建模在塑造我们对疫苗可预防疾病的理解并指导相关政策决策方面面临的关键挑战。
相似文献
1
Seven challenges in modeling vaccine preventable diseases.
Epidemics. 2015 Mar;10:11-5. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2014.08.004. Epub 2014 Aug 27.
2
Challenges in adult vaccination.
Ann Med. 2018 May;50(3):181-192. doi: 10.1080/07853890.2017.1417632. Epub 2018 Jan 16.
3
Vaccine adjuvants: current challenges and future approaches.
J Pharm Sci. 2009 Apr;98(4):1278-316. doi: 10.1002/jps.21523.
4
Preferential differences in vaccination decision-making for oneself or one's child in The Netherlands: a discrete choice experiment.
BMC Public Health. 2020 Jun 1;20(1):828. doi: 10.1186/s12889-020-08844-w.
5
Advances in vaccinating immunocompromised children.
Curr Opin Pediatr. 2020 Feb;32(1):145-150. doi: 10.1097/MOP.0000000000000846.
6
Vaccine-preventable infection morbidity of patients with chronic kidney disease and cocoon vaccination strategies.
Expert Rev Vaccines. 2015;14(10):1385-95. doi: 10.1586/14760584.2015.1075397. Epub 2015 Aug 4.
7
Game dynamic model of optimal budget allocation under individual vaccination choice.
J Theor Biol. 2019 Jun 7;470:108-118. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2019.03.014. Epub 2019 Mar 20.
8
Vaccine preventable diseases and vaccination coverage in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people, Australia 2003 to 2006.
Commun Dis Intell Q Rep. 2008 Jun;32 Suppl:S2-67.
9
Vaccine preventable diseases and vaccination coverage in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people, Australia 2006-2010.
Commun Dis Intell Q Rep. 2013 Dec 31;37 Suppl:S1-95.
10
Mathematical modeling of infectious diseases and the impact of vaccination strategies.
Math Biosci Eng. 2024 Sep 19;21(9):7103-7123. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2024314.
引用本文的文献
1
How mathematical modelling can inform outbreak response vaccination.
BMC Infect Dis. 2024 Dec 1;24(1):1371. doi: 10.1186/s12879-024-10243-0.
2
Determinants of incomplete child vaccination among mothers of children aged 12-23 months in Worebabo district, Ethiopia: Unmatched case-control study.
PLOS Glob Public Health. 2023 Aug 16;3(8):e0002088. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0002088. eCollection 2023.
3
Agent-based modelling of reactive vaccination of workplaces and schools against COVID-19.
Nat Commun. 2022 Mar 17;13(1):1414. doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-29015-y.
4
Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics.
Epidemics. 2022 Mar;38:100546. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100546. Epub 2022 Feb 11.
5
Critical spatial clusters for vaccine preventable diseases.
Soc Cult Behav Model (2020). 2020 Oct;12268:213-223. doi: 10.1007/978-3-030-61255-9_21. Epub 2020 Oct 11.
6
Vaccination and herd immunity thresholds in heterogeneous populations.
J Math Biol. 2021 Dec 8;83(6-7):73. doi: 10.1007/s00285-021-01686-z.
7
Challenges of evaluating and modelling vaccination in emerging infectious diseases.
Epidemics. 2021 Dec;37:100506. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100506. Epub 2021 Oct 5.
8
Public Knowledge and Opinion on Childhood Routine Immunizations in Two Major Cities of Anambra State, Nigeria.
J Multidiscip Healthc. 2021 Feb 2;14:247-257. doi: 10.2147/JMDH.S279397. eCollection 2021.
9
Quantifying the localized relationship between vector containment activities and dengue incidence in a real-world setting: A spatial and time series modelling analysis based on geo-located data from Pakistan.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2020 May 11;14(5):e0008273. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0008273. eCollection 2020 May.
10
Using models to shape measles control and elimination strategies in low- and middle-income countries: A review of recent applications.
Vaccine. 2020 Jan 29;38(5):979-992. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.11.020. Epub 2019 Nov 29.
本文引用的文献
1
Six challenges in the eradication of infectious diseases.
Epidemics. 2015 Mar;10:97-101. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2014.12.001. Epub 2014 Dec 12.
2
Six challenges in modelling for public health policy.
Epidemics. 2015 Mar;10:93-6. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2014.08.008. Epub 2014 Oct 7.
3
Five challenges in evolution and infectious diseases.
Epidemics. 2015 Mar;10:40-4. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2014.12.003. Epub 2014 Dec 18.
4
Potential opportunities and perils of imperfect dengue vaccines.
Vaccine. 2014 Jan 16;32(4):514-20. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2013.11.020. Epub 2013 Nov 19.
5
The impact of specific and non-specific immunity on the ecology of Streptococcus pneumoniae and the implications for vaccination.
Proc Biol Sci. 2013 Oct 2;280(1771):20131939. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2013.1939. Print 2013 Nov 22.
6
Vaccination and reduced cohort duration can drive virulence evolution: Marek's disease virus and industrialized agriculture.
Evolution. 2013 Mar;67(3):851-60. doi: 10.1111/j.1558-5646.2012.01803.x. Epub 2012 Nov 4.
7
Transmission dynamics of the four dengue serotypes in southern Vietnam and the potential impact of vaccination.
PLoS One. 2012;7(12):e51244. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0051244. Epub 2012 Dec 10.
8
Self-boosting vaccines and their implications for herd immunity.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2012 Dec 4;109(49):20154-9. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1209683109. Epub 2012 Nov 19.
9
Controlling dengue with vaccines in Thailand.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2012;6(10):e1876. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0001876. Epub 2012 Oct 25.
10
The impact of making vaccines thermostable in Niger's vaccine supply chain.
Vaccine. 2012 Aug 17;30(38):5637-43. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2012.06.087. Epub 2012 Jul 10.
Zotero 插件