Dasenbrock Hormuzdiyar H, Liu Kevin X, Devine Christopher A, Chavakula Vamsidhar, Smith Timothy R, Gormley William B, Dunn Ian F
Cushing Neurosurgery Outcomes Center, Department of Neurosurgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Neurosurg Focus. 2015 Dec;39(6):E12. doi: 10.3171/2015.10.FOCUS15386.
OBJECT Although the length of hospital stay is often used as a measure of quality of care, data evaluating the predictors of extended hospital stay after craniotomy for tumor are limited. The goals of this study were to use multivariate regression to examine which preoperative characteristics and postoperative complications predict a prolonged hospital stay and to assess the impact of length of stay on unplanned hospital readmission. METHODS Data were extracted from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database from 2007 to 2013. Patients who underwent craniotomy for resection of a brain tumor were included. Stratification was based on length of hospital stay, which was dichotomized by the upper quartile of the interquartile range (IQR) for the entire population. Covariates included patient age, sex, race, tumor histology, comorbidities, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) class, functional status, preoperative laboratory values, preoperative neurological deficits, operative time, and postoperative complications. Multivariate logistic regression with forward prediction was used to evaluate independent predictors of extended hospitalization. Thereafter, hierarchical multivariate logistic regression assessed the impact of length of stay on unplanned readmission. RESULTS The study included 11,510 patients. The median hospital stay was 4 days (IQR 3-8 days), and 27.7% (n = 3185) had a hospital stay of at least 8 days. Independent predictors of extended hospital stay included age greater than 70 years (OR 1.53, 95% CI 1.28%-1.83%, p < 0.001); African American (OR 1.75, 95% CI 1.44%-2.14%, p < 0.001) and Hispanic (OR 1.68, 95% CI 1.36%-2.08%) race or ethnicity; ASA class 3 (OR 1.52, 95% CI 1.34%-1.73%) or 4-5 (OR 2.18, 95% CI 1.82%-2.62%) designation; partially (OR 1.94, 95% CI 1.61%-2.35%) or totally dependent (OR 3.30, 95% CI 1.95%-5.55%) functional status; insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (OR 1.46, 95% CI 1.16%-1.84%); hematological comorbidities (OR 1.68, 95% CI 1.25%-2.24%); and preoperative hypoalbuminemia (OR 1.78, 95% CI 1.51%-2.09%, all p ≤ 0.009). Several postoperative complications were additional independent predictors of prolonged hospitalization including pulmonary emboli (OR 13.75, 95% CI 4.73%-39.99%), pneumonia (OR 5.40, 95% CI 2.89%-10.07%), and urinary tract infections (OR 11.87, 95% CI 7.09%-19.87%, all p < 0.001). The C-statistic of the model based on preoperative characteristics was 0.79, which increased to 0.83 after the addition of postoperative complications. A length of stay after craniotomy for tumor score was created based on preoperative factors significant in regression models, with a moderate correlation with length of stay (p = 0.43, p < 0.001). Extended hospital stay was not associated with differential odds of an unplanned hospital readmission (OR 0.97, 95% CI 0.89%-1.06%, p = 0.55). CONCLUSIONS In this NSQIP analysis that evaluated patients who underwent craniotomy for tumor, much of the variance in hospital stay was attributable to baseline patient characteristics, suggesting length of stay may be an imperfect proxy for quality. Additionally, longer hospitalizations were not found to be associated with differential rates of unplanned readmission.
尽管住院时间常被用作衡量医疗质量的指标,但评估开颅肿瘤切除术后延长住院时间的预测因素的数据有限。本研究的目的是使用多变量回归分析哪些术前特征和术后并发症可预测延长的住院时间,并评估住院时间对非计划再次入院的影响。方法:数据取自2007年至2013年的国家外科质量改进计划(NSQIP)数据库。纳入接受开颅肿瘤切除术的患者。根据住院时间进行分层,将其按整个人群四分位间距(IQR)的上四分位数进行二分法划分。协变量包括患者年龄、性别、种族、肿瘤组织学、合并症、美国麻醉医师协会(ASA)分级、功能状态、术前实验室值、术前神经功能缺损、手术时间和术后并发症。采用向前预测的多变量逻辑回归评估延长住院时间的独立预测因素。此后,分层多变量逻辑回归评估住院时间对非计划再次入院的影响。结果:该研究纳入了11,510例患者。中位住院时间为4天(IQR 3 - 8天),27.7%(n = 3185)的患者住院时间至少为8天。延长住院时间的独立预测因素包括年龄大于70岁(OR 1.53,95% CI 1.28% - 1.83%,p < 0.001);非裔美国人(OR 1.75,95% CI 1.44% - 2.14%,p < 0.001)和西班牙裔(OR 1.68,95% CI 1.36% - 2.08%)种族或族裔;ASA分级为3级(OR 1.52,95% CI 1.34% - 1.73%)或4 - 5级(OR 2.18,95% CI 1.82% - 2.62%);部分(OR 1.94,95% CI 1.61% - 2.35%)或完全依赖(OR 3.30,95% CI 1.95% - 5.55%)功能状态;胰岛素依赖型糖尿病(OR 1.46,95% CI 1.16% - 1.84%);血液系统合并症(OR 1.68,95% CI 1.25% - 2.24%);以及术前低白蛋白血症(OR 1.78,95% CI 1.51% - 2.09%,所有p ≤ 0.009)。几种术后并发症是延长住院时间的额外独立预测因素,包括肺栓塞(OR 13.75,95% CI 4.73% - 39.99%)、肺炎(OR 5.40,95% CI 2.89% - 10.07%)和尿路感染(OR 11.87,95% CI 7.09% - 19.87%,所有p < 0.001)。基于术前特征的模型C统计量为0.79,加入术后并发症后增至0.83。根据回归模型中显著的术前因素创建了肿瘤开颅术后住院时间评分,与住院时间具有中等相关性(p = 0.43,p < 0.001)。延长住院时间与非计划再次入院的差异几率无关(OR 0.97,95% CI 0.89% - 1.06%,p = 0.55)。结论:在这项评估接受开颅肿瘤切除术患者的NSQIP分析中,住院时间的大部分差异可归因于患者基线特征,这表明住院时间可能不是质量的完美指标。此外,未发现较长住院时间与非计划再次入院率的差异相关。