Hsu Ching-Wei, Weng Cheng-Hao, Lin-Tan Dan-Tzu, Chu Pao-Hsien, Yen Tzung-Hai, Chen Kuan-Hsing, Lin Chung-Yin, Huang Wen-Hung
Department of Nephrology, Division of Clinical Toxicology, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
Department of Nephrology, Division of Clinical Toxicology, Lin-Kou Medical Center, Taoyuan, Taiwan.
PLoS One. 2016 Jan 7;11(1):e0146173. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0146173. eCollection 2016.
Determine the effect of the day 1 urinary excretion of cadmium (D1-UE-Cd) on mortality of patients admitted to a coronary care unit (CCU).
A total of 323 patients were enrolled in this 6-month study. Urine and blood samples were taken within 24 h after CCU admission. Demographic data, clinical diagnoses, and hospital mortality were recorded. The scores of established systems for prediction of mortality in critically ill patients were calculated.
Compared with survivors (n = 289), non-survivors (n = 34) had higher levels of D1-UE-Cd. Stepwise multiple linear regression analysis indicated that D1-UE-Cd was positively associated with pulse rate and level of aspartate aminotransferase, but negatively associated with serum albumin level. Multivariate Cox analysis, with adjustment for other significant variables and measurements from mortality scoring systems, indicated that respiratory rate and D1-UE-Cd were independent and significant predictors of mortality. For each 1 μg/day increase of D1-UE-Cd, the hazard ratio for CCU mortality was 3.160 (95% confidence interval: 1.944-5.136, p < 0.001). The chi-square value of Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test for D1-UE-Cd was 10.869 (p = 0.213). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for D1-UE-Cd was 0.87 (95% confidence interval: 0.81-0.93).
The D1-UE-Cd, an objective variable with no inter-observer variability, accurately predicted hospital mortality of CCU patients and outperformed other established scoring systems. Further studies are needed to determine the physiological mechanism of the effect of cadmium on mortality in CCU patients.
确定冠心病监护病房(CCU)入院患者第1天尿镉排泄量(D1-UE-Cd)对死亡率的影响。
本项为期6个月的研究共纳入323例患者。在CCU入院后24小时内采集尿液和血液样本。记录人口统计学数据、临床诊断和医院死亡率。计算用于预测危重症患者死亡率的既定系统的评分。
与幸存者(n = 289)相比,非幸存者(n = 34)的D1-UE-Cd水平更高。逐步多元线性回归分析表明,D1-UE-Cd与脉搏率和天冬氨酸转氨酶水平呈正相关,但与血清白蛋白水平呈负相关。多变量Cox分析在对其他显著变量和死亡率评分系统的测量值进行校正后表明,呼吸频率和D1-UE-Cd是死亡率的独立且显著的预测因素。D1-UE-Cd每增加1μg/天,CCU死亡率的风险比为3.160(95%置信区间:1.944 - 5.136,p < 0.001)。D1-UE-Cd的Hosmer-Lemeshow拟合优度检验的卡方值为10.869(p = 0.213)。D1-UE-Cd的受试者工作特征曲线下面积为0.87(95%置信区间:0.81 - 0.93)。
D1-UE-Cd是一个无观察者间差异的客观变量,可准确预测CCU患者的医院死亡率,且优于其他既定评分系统。需要进一步研究以确定镉对CCU患者死亡率影响的生理机制。