Topalovic Marko, Laval Stefan, Aerts Jean-Marie, Troosters Thierry, Decramer Marc, Janssens Wim
Laboratory of Respiratory Diseases, Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University Hospital Leuven, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
Respiration. 2017;93(3):170-178. doi: 10.1159/000454956. Epub 2017 Jan 12.
The use of pulmonary function tests is primarily based on expert opinion and international guidelines. Current interpretation strategies are using predefined cutoffs for the description of a typical pattern.
We aimed to explore the predicted disease outcome based on the American Thoracic Society/European Respiratory Society (ATS/ERS) interpreting strategy. Subsequently, we investigated whether an unbiased machine learning framework integrating lung function with clinical variables may provide alternative decision trees resulting in a more accurate diagnosis.
Our study included data from 968 subjects admitted for the first time to a pulmonary practice. The final clinical diagnosis was based on the combination of complete pulmonary function with the investigations that were decided at the physician's discretion. Clinical diagnoses were separated into 10 different groups and validated by an expert panel.
The ATS/ERS algorithm resulted in a correct diagnostic label in 38% of the subjects. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) was detected with an acceptable accuracy (74%), whereas all other diseases were poorly identified. The new data-based decision tree improved the general accuracy to 68% after 10-fold cross-validation when detecting the most common lung diseases, with a significantly higher positive predictive value and sensitivity for COPD, asthma, interstitial lung disease, and neuromuscular disorder (83/78, 66/82, 52/59, and 100/54%, respectively).
Our data show that the current algorithms for lung function interpretation can be improved by a computer-based choice of lung function and clinical variables and their decision-making thresholds.
肺功能测试的应用主要基于专家意见和国际指南。目前的解读策略使用预定义的临界值来描述典型模式。
我们旨在根据美国胸科学会/欧洲呼吸学会(ATS/ERS)的解读策略探索预测的疾病结局。随后,我们研究了一个将肺功能与临床变量相结合的无偏机器学习框架是否可以提供替代决策树,从而实现更准确的诊断。
我们的研究纳入了968名首次入住肺部诊疗科室的受试者的数据。最终临床诊断基于完整肺功能与医生自行决定的检查结果的综合判断。临床诊断分为10个不同组,并由专家小组进行验证。
ATS/ERS算法在38%的受试者中得出了正确的诊断标签。慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)的检测准确率尚可(74%),而所有其他疾病的识别效果较差。在检测最常见的肺部疾病时,新的基于数据的决策树在10倍交叉验证后将总体准确率提高到了68%,对COPD、哮喘、间质性肺疾病和神经肌肉疾病的阳性预测值和敏感度显著更高(分别为83/78、66/82、52/59和100/54%)。
我们的数据表明,目前用于肺功能解读的算法可以通过基于计算机选择肺功能和临床变量及其决策阈值来改进。