Chu Chen-Yi, de Silva U Chandimal, Guo Jin-Peng, Wang Yong, Wen Liang, Lee Vernon J, Li Shen-Long, Huang Liu-Yu
Institute of Disease Control and Prevention, Academy of Military Medical Sciences, Beijing, China.
Osaka University, Suita City, Osaka, Japan.
Int J Infect Dis. 2017 Jul;60:77-82. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2017.04.021. Epub 2017 May 5.
Many studies have suggested the effectiveness of single control measures in the containment and mitigation of pandemic influenza A (H1N1) 2009. The effects of combined interventions by multiple control measures in reducing the impact of an influenza A (H1N1) 2009 outbreak in a closed physical training camp in Beijing, China were evaluated.
Oseltamivir was prescribed for the treatment of confirmed cases and possible cases and as prophylaxis for all other participants in this training camp. Public health control measures were applied simultaneously, including the isolation of patients and possible cases, personal protection and hygiene, and social distancing measures. Symptom surveillance of all participants was initiated, and the actual attack rate was calculated. For comparison, the theoretical attack rate for this outbreak was projected using the Newton-Raphson numerical method.
A total of 3256 persons were present at the physical training camp. During the outbreak, 405 (68.3%) possible cases and 26 (4.4%) confirmed cases were reported before the intervention and completed oseltamivir treatment; 162 (27.3%) possible cases were reported after the intervention and received part treatment and part prophylaxis. The other 2663 participants completed oseltamivir prophylaxis. Of the possible cases, 181 with fever ≥38.5°C were isolated. The actual attack rate for this outbreak of pandemic influenza A (H1N1) 2009 was 18.2%, which is much lower than the theoretical attack rate of 80% projected.
Combined interventions of large-scale antiviral ring prophylaxis and treatment and public health control measures could be applied to reduce the magnitude of influenza A (H1N1) 2009 outbreaks in closed settings.
许多研究表明单一防控措施在遏制和缓解2009年甲型H1N1流感大流行方面的有效性。本研究评估了多种防控措施联合干预对降低中国北京某封闭体能训练营地甲型H1N1流感2009疫情影响的效果。
对确诊病例和疑似病例采用奥司他韦进行治疗,并对该训练营所有其他参与者进行预防用药。同时实施公共卫生防控措施,包括隔离患者和疑似病例、个人防护与卫生以及社交距离措施。对所有参与者启动症状监测,并计算实际罹患率。为作比较,采用牛顿-拉弗森数值方法预测此次疫情的理论罹患率。
该体能训练营地共有3256人。疫情期间,干预前报告了405例(68.3%)疑似病例和26例(4.4%)确诊病例,并完成了奥司他韦治疗;干预后报告了162例(27.3%)疑似病例,接受了部分治疗和部分预防用药。其他2663名参与者完成了奥司他韦预防用药。在疑似病例中,对181例体温≥38.5℃的患者进行了隔离。此次甲型H1N1流感2009疫情的实际罹患率为18.2%,远低于预测的80%的理论罹患率。
大规模抗病毒环状预防和治疗与公共卫生防控措施联合干预可用于降低封闭场所甲型H1N1流感2009疫情的规模。