Epidemiology. 2018 Mar;29(2):299-307. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000000775.
National surveys are used to capture US health trends and set clinical guidelines, yet the sampling frame often includes those in noninstitutional households, potentially missing those most vulnerable for poor health. Declining response rates in national surveys also represent a challenge, and existing inputs to survey weights have limitations. We compared mortality rates between those who respond to surveys and the general population over time.
Survey respondents from 20 waves of the National Health Interview Survey from 1990 to 2009 who have been linked to death records through 31 December 2011 were included. For each cohort in the survey, we estimated their mortality rates along with that cohort's mortality rate in the census population using vital statistics records, and differences were examined using Poisson models.
In all years, survey respondents had lower mortality rates compared with the general population when data were both weighted and unweighted. Among men, survey respondents in the weighted sample had 0.86 (95% confidence interval = 0.853, 0.868) times the mortality rate of the general population (among women, RR = 0.887; 95% confidence interval, 0.879, 0.895). Differences in mortality are evident along all points of the life course. Differences have remained relatively stable over time.
Survey respondents have lower death rates than the general US population, suggesting that they are a systematically healthier source population. Incorporating nonhousehold samples and revised weighting strategies to account for sample frame exclusion and nonresponse may allow for more rigorous estimation of the US population's health.
国家调查用于捕捉美国健康趋势和制定临床指南,但抽样框架通常包括非机构家庭的人,可能会错过那些健康状况最差的人。国家调查的回应率下降也是一个挑战,现有的调查权重投入存在局限性。我们比较了随着时间的推移,回应调查的人和一般人群的死亡率。
我们纳入了来自 1990 年至 2009 年的 20 个国家健康访谈调查波次的调查回应者,这些人通过截至 2011 年 12 月 31 日的死亡记录与调查相联系。对于调查中的每个队列,我们使用生命统计记录估计了他们的死亡率以及该队列在人口普查中的死亡率,并使用泊松模型检查了差异。
在所有年份,与未加权数据相比,加权和未加权数据均显示调查回应者的死亡率低于一般人群。在男性中,加权样本中的调查回应者的死亡率是一般人群的 0.86 倍(95%置信区间,0.853,0.868)(在女性中,RR = 0.887;95%置信区间,0.879,0.895)。在整个生命过程中,死亡率的差异明显。随着时间的推移,差异相对稳定。
调查回应者的死亡率低于美国一般人群,这表明他们是一个系统上更健康的来源人群。纳入非家庭样本和修订的加权策略,以考虑样本框架排除和无回应,可能允许更严格地估计美国人口的健康状况。