Smithsonian Environmental Research Center, Edgewater, MD 21037;
Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21218.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Sep 3;116(36):17867-17873. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1819027116. Epub 2019 Aug 19.
Global change drivers (GCDs) are expected to alter community structure and consequently, the services that ecosystems provide. Yet, few experimental investigations have examined effects of GCDs on plant community structure across multiple ecosystem types, and those that do exist present conflicting patterns. In an unprecedented global synthesis of over 100 experiments that manipulated factors linked to GCDs, we show that herbaceous plant community responses depend on experimental manipulation length and number of factors manipulated. We found that plant communities are fairly resistant to experimentally manipulated GCDs in the short term (<10 y). In contrast, long-term (≥10 y) experiments show increasing community divergence of treatments from control conditions. Surprisingly, these community responses occurred with similar frequency across the GCD types manipulated in our database. However, community responses were more common when 3 or more GCDs were simultaneously manipulated, suggesting the emergence of additive or synergistic effects of multiple drivers, particularly over long time periods. In half of the cases, GCD manipulations caused a difference in community composition without a corresponding species richness difference, indicating that species reordering or replacement is an important mechanism of community responses to GCDs and should be given greater consideration when examining consequences of GCDs for the biodiversity-ecosystem function relationship. Human activities are currently driving unparalleled global changes worldwide. Our analyses provide the most comprehensive evidence to date that these human activities may have widespread impacts on plant community composition globally, which will increase in frequency over time and be greater in areas where communities face multiple GCDs simultaneously.
全球变化驱动因素(GCDs)预计将改变群落结构,并因此改变生态系统提供的服务。然而,很少有实验研究调查了 GCDs 对跨多种生态系统类型的植物群落结构的影响,而且那些存在的研究结果呈现出相互矛盾的模式。在一项前所未有的、对 100 多项操纵与 GCDs 相关因素的实验进行的全球综合研究中,我们表明,草本植物群落的响应取决于实验操纵的长度和操纵的因素数量。我们发现,植物群落对短期(<10 年)内实验操纵的 GCDs 具有相当的抵抗力。相比之下,长期(≥10 年)实验显示,处理与对照条件之间的群落差异越来越大。令人惊讶的是,在我们的数据库中操纵的 GCD 类型中,这些群落响应以相似的频率发生。然而,当同时操纵 3 个或更多 GCD 时,群落响应更为常见,这表明多个驱动因素的累加或协同作用的出现,特别是在长时间内。在一半的情况下,GCD 操纵导致群落组成的差异,而没有相应的物种丰富度差异,这表明物种重新排序或替换是群落对 GCDs 响应的一个重要机制,在研究 GCDs 对生物多样性-生态系统功能关系的后果时,应该给予更多的考虑。人类活动正在全球范围内引发前所未有的全球变化。我们的分析提供了迄今为止最全面的证据,表明这些人类活动可能会对全球范围内的植物群落组成产生广泛影响,而且随着时间的推移,这种影响的频率将会增加,在同时面临多个 GCDs 的地区,这种影响将会更大。