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孩子的成本和收益对信教的人重要吗?波兰对为人父母的认知后果和生育意愿。

Do costs and benefits of children matter for religious people? Perceived consequences of parenthood and fertility intentions in Poland.

机构信息

Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (KNAW), Den Haag, the Netherlands.

University of Groningen, the Netherlands.

出版信息

J Biosoc Sci. 2021 May;53(3):419-435. doi: 10.1017/S0021932020000280. Epub 2020 Aug 13.

Abstract

The aim of this study was to examine the positive relationship between religiosity and fertility from the perspective of perceived consequences of parenthood. Previous studies in Germany have found that highly religious people ascribe higher benefits and lower costs to having children. Furthermore, the impact of costs and benefits on fertility is less pronounced among the highly religious. This study tested these mechanisms for fertility intentions and in the context of Poland - a country with a low fertility rate and high religiosity in comparison to other European countries. A sample of 4892 men and women of childbearing age from the second wave of the Polish version of the Generations and Gender Survey conducted in 2014/2015 was used. First, the extent to which perceived costs and benefits mediate the impact of religiosity on fertility intentions was analysed. Second, whether religiosity moderates the impact of perceived costs and benefits on fertility intentions was investigated. The results show that part of the positive effect of religiosity on fertility intentions can be explained by more-religious people seeing higher benefits of having children. Furthermore, but only in the case of women, religiosity moderates the impact of perceived costs on fertility intentions, suggesting that the effect of perceived costs decreases with increasing religiosity.

摘要

本研究旨在从为人父母的感知后果的角度探讨宗教信仰与生育力之间的积极关系。德国之前的研究发现,高度虔诚的人认为生育孩子有更高的益处和更低的成本。此外,在高度虔诚的人群中,成本和益处对生育力的影响不太明显。本研究在波兰这一背景下,针对生育意愿测试了这些机制——波兰的生育率低,宗教信仰程度比其他欧洲国家高。本研究使用了 2014/2015 年进行的波兰版世代与性别调查的第二轮中 4892 名处于生育年龄的男性和女性的样本。首先,分析了感知成本和益处在多大程度上可以调解宗教信仰对生育意愿的影响。其次,调查了宗教信仰是否可以调节感知成本和益处对生育意愿的影响。研究结果表明,宗教信仰对生育意愿的积极影响部分可以用更虔诚的人认为生育孩子有更高的益处来解释。此外,只有在女性的情况下,宗教信仰才可以调节感知成本对生育意愿的影响,这表明感知成本的影响随着宗教信仰的增加而降低。

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