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评估撒哈拉以南非洲地区的艾滋病毒/艾滋病流行情况与可持续发展:卫生支出的作用。

Evaluating HIV/Aids prevalence and sustainable development in sub-Saharan Africa: the role of health expenditure.

作者信息

Odugbesan Jamiu Adetola, Rjoub Husam

机构信息

Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Cyprus International University, North Cyprus.

Department of Accounting and Finance, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Cyprus International University, North Cyprus.

出版信息

Afr Health Sci. 2020 Jun;20(2):568-578. doi: 10.4314/ahs.v20i2.4.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) present the highest prevalence of HIV/AIDS worldwide; resulting to a significant development challenges at country, region and global level. The previous studies explain at least in part, the impact of the epidemic, however the impact of HIV/AIDS in long-term economic behavior were not yet clear. There is clearly few or absence of studies on the impact of the impact of the epidemic on sustainable development.

OBJECTIVE

This study focused on macroeconomic analysis of the HIV/AIDS impact on sustainable development in SSA.

METHODS

The study utilized a panel dataset covering 23 countries from 1993 until 2016, and employed Panel ARDL/PMG.

RESULT

Our findings reveals a stable long-run relationship between sustainable development and HIV/AIDS prevalence. The error correction coefficient was statistically significant and conclude that HIV/AIDS prevalence has long-run impact on sustainable development.

CONCLUSION

The main implication of our study is that, achieving a sustainable development in the presence of high prevalence of HIV/AIDS in SSA is very challenging and as such, the responsiveness of HIV/AIDS to sustainable development should be maintained at minimum which would require more efforts on HIV/AIDS control programs and increase health expenditure.

摘要

背景

撒哈拉以南非洲地区(SSA)的艾滋病毒/艾滋病感染率在全球最高,给国家、地区和全球层面带来了重大的发展挑战。以往的研究至少部分解释了该流行病的影响,然而艾滋病毒/艾滋病对长期经济行为的影响尚不清楚。关于该流行病对可持续发展影响的研究显然很少或几乎没有。

目的

本研究聚焦于对撒哈拉以南非洲地区艾滋病毒/艾滋病对可持续发展影响的宏观经济分析。

方法

该研究使用了一个涵盖1993年至2016年23个国家的面板数据集,并采用了面板自回归分布滞后模型/池均值组估计法(Panel ARDL/PMG)。

结果

我们的研究结果揭示了可持续发展与艾滋病毒/艾滋病感染率之间存在稳定的长期关系。误差修正系数具有统计学意义,并得出结论:艾滋病毒/艾滋病感染率对可持续发展具有长期影响。

结论

我们研究的主要启示是,在撒哈拉以南非洲地区艾滋病毒/艾滋病高感染率的情况下实现可持续发展极具挑战性,因此,应将艾滋病毒/艾滋病对可持续发展的反应性保持在最低水平,这需要在艾滋病毒/艾滋病控制项目上付出更多努力并增加卫生支出。

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