Department of Environmental Health Science, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Gwanak-ro 1, Gwanak-gu, Seoul, 08826, South Korea; Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Seoul Saint Mary's Hospital, Banpo-daero 222, Seocho-gu, Seoul, 06591, South Korea.
Environ Pollut. 2021 Nov 1;288:117707. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2021.117707. Epub 2021 Jul 6.
The objective of this study was to validate the hypothesis that increased serum concentrations of perfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) cause kidney damage. A causal interpretative study was designed using the US 2003-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) datasets.
Three statistical models, including multivariable linear regression, generalized additive model, and regression discontinuity model (RDM), were applied to the US 2003-2018 NHANES datasets to evaluate the causal relationship between the four PFAS agents and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Directed acyclic graphs were plotted for a more valid causal inference.
In the RDM, when the natural logarithm of each PFAS agent increases by 1 ng/mL after each cut-off value, eGFR decreased 4.63 mL/min/1.73 m for perfluorooctanoic acid, 3.42 mL/min/1.73 m for perfluorooctane sulfonic acid, 2.37 mL/min/1.73 m for perfluorohexane sulfonic acid, and 2.87 mL/min/1.73 m for perfluorononanoic acid. The possibility of reverse causation that increased serum PFAS concentration is the consequence of reduced eGFR, not the cause, was low, and an additional adjustment of potential confounders was not needed.
This study contributes to the understanding of PFAS-induced kidney damage. Further longitudinal epidemiological and toxicological studies are recommended.
本研究旨在验证血清中多氟烷基物质(PFAS)浓度升高导致肾脏损伤的假设。本研究采用美国 2003-2018 年国家健康与营养调查(NHANES)数据集,设计了一项因果解释性研究。
采用多变量线性回归、广义加性模型和回归不连续性模型(RDM)三种统计模型,对美国 2003-2018 年 NHANES 数据集进行分析,评估四种 PFAS 物质与估计肾小球滤过率(eGFR)之间的因果关系。绘制有向无环图(DAG)以进行更有效的因果推断。
在 RDM 中,当每个 PFAS 物质的自然对数值在每个截断值后增加 1ng/ml 时,eGFR 分别下降 4.63ml/min/1.73m2 (对于全氟辛酸)、3.42ml/min/1.73m2 (对于全氟辛烷磺酸)、2.37ml/min/1.73m2 (对于全氟己烷磺酸)和 2.87ml/min/1.73m2 (对于全氟壬酸)。血清中 PFAS 浓度升高是由于 eGFR 降低所致,而不是相反,这种反向因果关系的可能性较低,因此不需要进一步调整潜在的混杂因素。
本研究有助于理解 PFAS 引起的肾脏损伤。建议进一步开展纵向的流行病学和毒理学研究。