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评价传染病环式干预措施的环式试验设计述评。

A Review of the Ring Trial Design for Evaluating Ring Interventions for Infectious Diseases.

出版信息

Epidemiol Rev. 2022 Dec 21;44(1):29-54. doi: 10.1093/epirev/mxac003.

Abstract

In trials of infectious disease interventions, rare outcomes and unpredictable spatiotemporal variation can introduce bias, reduce statistical power, and prevent conclusive inferences. Spillover effects can complicate inference if individual randomization is used to gain efficiency. Ring trials are a type of cluster-randomized trial that may increase efficiency and minimize bias, particularly in emergency and elimination settings with strong clustering of infection. They can be used to evaluate ring interventions, which are delivered to individuals in proximity to or contact with index cases. We conducted a systematic review of ring trials, compare them with other trial designs for evaluating ring interventions, and describe strengths and weaknesses of each design. Of 849 articles and 322 protocols screened, we identified 26 ring trials, 15 cluster-randomized trials, 5 trials that randomized households or individuals within rings, and 1 individually randomized trial. The most common interventions were postexposure prophylaxis (n = 23) and focal mass drug administration and screening and treatment (n = 7). Ring trials require robust surveillance systems and contact tracing for directly transmitted diseases. For rare diseases with strong spatiotemporal clustering, they may have higher efficiency and internal validity than cluster-randomized designs, in part because they ensure that no clusters are excluded from analysis due to zero cluster incidence. Though more research is needed to compare them with other types of trials, ring trials hold promise as a design that can increase trial speed and efficiency while reducing bias.

摘要

在传染病干预措施的试验中,罕见的结局和不可预测的时空变化可能会引入偏差,降低统计效力,并阻止得出明确的结论。如果使用个体随机化来提高效率,则溢出效应会使推断复杂化。环试验是一种群组随机试验,它可以提高效率并最大程度地减少偏差,尤其是在具有强烈感染聚集性的紧急和消除环境中。它们可用于评估针对与病例密切接触或接触的个体进行的环干预措施。我们对环试验进行了系统评价,将其与其他用于评估环干预措施的试验设计进行了比较,并描述了每种设计的优缺点。在筛选出的 849 篇文章和 322 项方案中,我们确定了 26 项环试验、15 项群组随机试验、5 项在环内对家庭或个体进行随机化的试验和 1 项个体随机化试验。最常见的干预措施是暴露后预防(n=23)和重点人群药物管理以及筛查和治疗(n=7)。环试验需要有强大的监测系统和接触者追踪,以用于直接传播的疾病。对于具有强烈时空聚集性的罕见疾病,它们的效率和内部有效性可能高于群组随机设计,部分原因是它们可以确保由于零簇发生率而不会将任何簇从分析中排除。尽管需要更多的研究来将其与其他类型的试验进行比较,但环试验有望成为一种可以提高试验速度和效率同时减少偏差的设计。

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