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黄河流域城市碳排放在效率及其影响因素分析。

Analysis of urban carbon emission efficiency and influencing factors in the Yellow River Basin.

机构信息

School of Economics, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao, 276826, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Feb;30(6):14641-14655. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-23065-x. Epub 2022 Sep 26.

Abstract

The Yellow River Basin is an energy-rich area. The low-carbon development of the Yellow River Basin is one of the ways to achieve ecological protection and high-quality development. Based on panel data from 2007 to 2019, the dynamic and static carbon emission efficiencies of 98 cities in the Yellow River Basin were calculated using the Undesirable Super Slacks-based model and the Global Malmquist-Luengerber index method, respectively, and the spatial effects of influencing factors were analyzed using the spatial Dubin model. Main conclusions are as follows: (1) The carbon emission efficiency of cities in the Yellow River Basin is different, and only a small numbers of cities have reached the effective state. (2) The main factor for the increase in the overall carbon emission efficiency of the whole Basin is technological progress, and the main factors for the improvement of carbon emission efficiency of different cities are various. (3) The direct effects of economic development level and industrial structure upgrading are significantly positive, the direct effects of technological development level, energy intensity, and opening up are significantly negative, and the indirect effects of population density are positive. The conclusions are of great significance for promoting low-carbon development, ecological protection and high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin.

摘要

黄河流域是一个能源丰富的地区。黄河流域的低碳发展是实现生态保护和高质量发展的途径之一。基于 2007 年至 2019 年的面板数据,采用非期望超效率 SBM 模型和全局 Malmquist-Luenberger 指数方法,分别计算了黄河流域 98 个城市的动态和静态碳排放量效率,并采用空间杜宾模型分析了影响因素的空间效应。主要结论如下:(1)黄河流域城市的碳排放效率存在差异,只有少数城市达到了有效状态。(2)整个流域整体碳排放量效率提高的主要因素是技术进步,不同城市碳排放量效率提高的主要因素各不相同。(3)经济发展水平和产业结构升级的直接效应显著为正,技术发展水平、能源强度和开放程度的直接效应显著为负,人口密度的间接效应为正。这些结论对于促进黄河流域的低碳发展、生态保护和高质量发展具有重要意义。

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