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采用多状态建模评估系统性红斑狼疮国际协作临床队列的神经精神性疾病的成本。

Assessing the Costs of Neuropsychiatric Disease in the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics Cohort Using Multistate Modeling.

机构信息

University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.

Queen Elizabeth II Health Sciences Centre and Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.

出版信息

Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken). 2023 Sep;75(9):1859-1870. doi: 10.1002/acr.25090. Epub 2023 Feb 23.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To estimate direct and indirect costs associated with neuropsychiatric (NP) events in the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics inception cohort.

METHODS

NP events were documented annually using American College of Rheumatology definitions for NP events and attributed to systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) or non-SLE causes. Patients were stratified into 1 of 3 NP states (no, resolved, or new/ongoing NP event). Change in NP status was characterized by interstate transition rates using multistate modeling. Annual direct costs and indirect costs were based on health care use and impaired productivity over the preceding year. Annual costs associated with NP states and NP events were calculated by averaging all observations in each state and adjusted through random-effects regressions. Five- and 10-year costs for NP states were predicted by multiplying adjusted annual costs per state by expected state duration, forecasted using multistate modeling.

RESULTS

A total of 1,697 patients (49% White race/ethnicity) were followed for a mean of 9.6 years. NP events (n = 1,971) occurred in 956 patients, 32% attributed to SLE. For SLE and non-SLE NP events, predicted annual, 5-, and 10-year direct costs and indirect costs were higher in new/ongoing versus no events. Direct costs were 1.5-fold higher and indirect costs 1.3-fold higher in new/ongoing versus no events. Indirect costs exceeded direct costs 3.0 to 5.2 fold. Among frequent SLE NP events, new/ongoing seizure disorder and cerebrovascular disease accounted for the largest increases in annual direct costs. For non-SLE NP events, new/ongoing polyneuropathy accounted for the largest increase in annual direct costs, and new/ongoing headache and mood disorder for the largest increases in indirect costs.

CONCLUSION

Patients with new/ongoing SLE or non-SLE NP events incurred higher direct and indirect costs.

摘要

目的

估算与系统性红斑狼疮国际合作诊所发病队列中的神经精神(NP)事件相关的直接和间接成本。

方法

使用美国风湿病学会(ACR)对 NP 事件的定义,每年对 NP 事件进行记录,并将其归因于系统性红斑狼疮(SLE)或非 SLE 原因。患者分为 3 种 NP 状态之一(无 NP 状态、NP 状态已解决或出现新的/持续的 NP 事件)。使用多状态模型,通过州际转移率来描述 NP 状态的变化。直接成本和间接成本基于前一年的医疗保健使用和生产力受损情况。通过对每个状态的所有观察值进行平均,计算与 NP 状态和 NP 事件相关的年度成本,并通过随机效应回归进行调整。使用多状态模型预测 NP 状态的 5 年和 10 年成本,方法是将每个状态的调整后年度成本乘以预期状态持续时间。

结果

共有 1697 名患者(49%为白种人/族裔)接受了平均 9.6 年的随访。在 956 名患者中发生了 1971 例 NP 事件,其中 32%归因于 SLE。对于 SLE 和非 SLE NP 事件,新的/持续的 NP 事件的预测年度、5 年和 10 年直接成本和间接成本高于无 NP 事件。新的/持续的 NP 事件的直接成本是无 NP 事件的 1.5 倍,间接成本是无 NP 事件的 1.3 倍。间接成本是直接成本的 3.0 至 5.2 倍。在频繁发生的 SLE NP 事件中,新的/持续的癫痫发作障碍和脑血管疾病导致年度直接成本的增加最大。对于非 SLE NP 事件,新的/持续的多发性神经病导致年度直接成本的增加最大,而新的/持续的头痛和情绪障碍导致年度间接成本的增加最大。

结论

出现新的/持续的 SLE 或非 SLE NP 事件的患者会产生更高的直接和间接成本。

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