School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, The University of Queensland, Australia.
School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, The University of Queensland, Australia; School of Population Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia; European Centre for Environment and Human Health (ECEHH), University of Exeter Medical School, Knowledge Spa, Royal Cornwall Hospital, Truro TR1 3HD, Cornwall, UK; Queensland Alliance for Environmental Health Sciences, The University of Queensland, Australia.
Environ Res. 2024 Jan 1;240(Pt 1):117397. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2023.117397. Epub 2023 Oct 24.
State of Victoria, Australia (SVA) has a wide variation of diurnal temperatures (DTR). DTR has been reported to be associated with risk of mortality and morbidity. We examined the association between exposure to DTR and risk of all-cause mortality and emergency department (ED) presentations in the SVA. We obtained data on daily counts of deaths and ED presentations, and weather data from 1 st January 2000─2019. We applied a quasi-Poisson time-series regression analysis to examine the association between daily DTR exposures and risk of mortality and ED presentations. The analyses were queried by age, sex, seasons, ED presentations triages, and departure status. Risk of mortality and ED presentation increased by 0.33% (95% CI: 0.24%-0.43%), and 0.094% (95% CI: 0.077%-0.11%) in relation to one degree increase in the daily DTR. The association between DTR and ED presentations was stronger in children (0-15 years) (0.38% [95% CI: 0.34%-0.42%]) and the elderly (75+ years) (0.34% [95% CI: 0.29%-0.39%]). Resuscitation, which was consistently accounted for the highest vulnerability to DTR variation, increased by 0.79% (95% CI: 0.60%-0.99%). This study suggests that the risk of mortality and ED presentations associates with the increase of DTR. Children, the elderly, and their caregivers need to be made aware of the health risk posed by DTR.
澳大利亚维多利亚州(SVA)的日温差(DTR)变化较大。已有报道称,DTR 与死亡率和发病率有关。我们研究了 SVA 中 DTR 暴露与全因死亡率和急诊科(ED)就诊风险之间的关系。我们获得了 2000 年 1 月至 2019 年期间每日死亡人数和 ED 就诊人数以及天气数据。我们应用拟泊松时间序列回归分析来研究 DTR 暴露与死亡率和 ED 就诊风险之间的关系。通过年龄、性别、季节、ED 就诊分诊和出院状态来查询分析结果。与每日 DTR 升高一度相关,死亡率和 ED 就诊风险分别增加了 0.33%(95%CI:0.24%-0.43%)和 0.094%(95%CI:0.077%-0.11%)。DTR 与 ED 就诊之间的关联在儿童(0-15 岁)(0.38%[95%CI:0.34%-0.42%])和老年人(75 岁以上)(0.34%[95%CI:0.29%-0.39%])中更强。复苏始终被认为是对 DTR 变化最脆弱的因素,其风险增加了 0.79%(95%CI:0.60%-0.99%)。本研究表明,死亡率和 ED 就诊风险与 DTR 的增加有关。儿童、老年人及其护理人员需要意识到 DTR 带来的健康风险。