Rey-Ares Lucila, Averin Ahuva, Mac Mullen Mercedes, Hariharan Dhwani, Atwood Mark, Carballo Carolina, Huang Liping
Pfizer S.R.L, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Avalere Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Infect Dis Ther. 2024 Jun;13(6):1235-1251. doi: 10.1007/s40121-024-00972-9. Epub 2024 May 3.
In Argentina, vaccination with 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) followed by 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23; PCV13 → PPSV23) has been recommended for all adults aged ≥ 65 years and younger adults with chronic medical ("moderate-risk") or immunocompromising ("high-risk") conditions since 2017. With the approval of a 20-valent PCV (PCV20), we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of PCV20 versus current recommendations for moderate-/high-risk adults aged 18-64 years and all adults 65-99 years.
A probabilistic cohort model was used to project lifetime outcomes and costs associated with invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and all-cause non-bacteremic pneumonia (NBP), and the expected impact of vaccination. Clinical outcomes were projected annually based on Argentinean data. Economic costs were estimated based on cases and corresponding medical costs (adjusted to 2023 USD) and costs of vaccine and administration. Cost-effectiveness of PCV20 was evaluated versus the current strategy, PCV13 → PPSV23, and alternatively, versus sequentially administered 15-valent PCV and PPSV23 (PCV15 → PPSV23), and presented as cost per quality-adjusted life year gained; a healthcare system perspective was used. Costs and benefits were discounted at 3%/year.
PCV20 in lieu of PCV13 → PPSV23 among moderate-/high-risk adults aged 18-64 years and all adults 65-99 years (N = 13.4M) prevented 3838 IPD, 4377 inpatient NBP, and 6003 outpatient NBP cases, and 1865 disease-related deaths; relative to PCV15 → PPSV23 the corresponding reductions were 2775, 3285, 4518, and 1348. PCV20 was projected to be the dominant strategy versus PCV13 → PPSV23 and PCV15 → PPSV23 as overall costs were lower by $87.6M and $80.8M, respectively. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, PCV20 was dominant (i.e., more effective, less costly) in 100% of 1000 simulations.
Analyses suggest implementing a PCV20 vaccination program in moderate-/high-risk adults aged 18-64 years and all adults ≥ 65 years-in lieu of PCV13 → PPSV23-would yield substantial reductions in pneumococcal disease and would be cost saving to the Argentinean healthcare system.
在阿根廷,自2017年起,建议所有65岁及以上的成年人以及患有慢性疾病(“中度风险”)或免疫功能低下(“高度风险”)的年轻成年人接种13价肺炎球菌结合疫苗(PCV13),随后接种23价肺炎球菌多糖疫苗(PPSV23;PCV13→PPSV23)。随着20价肺炎球菌结合疫苗(PCV20)的获批,我们评估了PCV20相对于当前针对18 - 64岁中度/高度风险成年人以及所有65 - 99岁成年人的建议接种方案的成本效益。
使用概率队列模型预测与侵袭性肺炎球菌病(IPD)和全因非菌血症性肺炎(NBP)相关的终生结局和成本,以及疫苗接种的预期影响。临床结局每年根据阿根廷的数据进行预测。经济成本根据病例数和相应的医疗成本(调整为2023年美元)以及疫苗和接种费用进行估算。评估了PCV20相对于当前策略PCV13→PPSV23以及相对于依次接种15价肺炎球菌结合疫苗和PPSV23(PCV15→PPSV23)的成本效益,并以每获得一个质量调整生命年的成本表示;采用医疗保健系统的视角。成本和效益按每年3%进行贴现。
在18 - 64岁中度/高度风险成年人以及所有65 - 99岁成年人(N = 1340万)中,用PCV20替代PCV13→PPSV23可预防3838例IPD、4377例住院NBP和6003例门诊NBP病例,以及1865例与疾病相关的死亡;相对于PCV15→PPSV23,相应的减少量分别为2775例、3285例、4518例和1348例。预计PCV20相对于PCV13→PPSV23和PCV15→PPSV23将成为主导策略,因为总体成本分别降低了8760万美元和8080万美元。在概率敏感性分析中,PCV20在1000次模拟中的100%中占主导地位(即更有效、成本更低)。
分析表明,在18 - 64岁中度/高度风险成年人以及所有65岁及以上成年人中实施PCV20疫苗接种计划——替代PCV13→PPSV23——将大幅减少肺炎球菌疾病,并为阿根廷医疗保健系统节省成本。