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作为一个领域的人口统计学:我们的起源与发展方向。

Demography as a Field: Where We Came From and Where We Are Headed.

作者信息

Pesando Luca Maria, Dorélien Audrey, St-Denis Xavier, Santos Alexis

机构信息

Division of Social Science, New York University, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

Department of Sociology, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.

出版信息

Can Stud Popul. 2023 Sep;50(3). doi: 10.1007/s42650-023-00076-8. Epub 2023 Jul 17.

Abstract

This essay provides a series of reflections on the current state of demography as seen by four early-career researchers who are actively engaged in aspects of the discipline as varied as research, teaching, mentorship, data collection efforts, policy making, and policy advising. Despite some claims that the discipline is weakening, we showcase the great potential of the field and outline promising pathways and novel directions for the future. In so doing, we critically assess recent innovations in data quality and availability, stressing the need to "revolutionize" the way that demographic methods are taught by adopting a viewpoint that more closely reflects the rapidly changing, or "fast," nature of global social phenomena such as conflict-related displacements, environmental disasters, migration streams, pandemics, and evolving population policies. We conclude by discussing the relevance of careful demographic analyses for policy making, stressing three main points: (i) the need to make demography more visible and understandable to the public eye; (ii) the importance of engaging and co-creating with local communities to "break" the academic bubble; and (iii) the urge to counteract the spread of misinformation-a phenomenon that has become even more visible in the aftermath of the COVID-19 outbreak.

摘要

本文呈现了四位处于职业生涯早期的研究人员对当前人口统计学状况的一系列思考。他们积极投身于该学科的诸多领域,涵盖研究、教学、指导、数据收集工作、政策制定及政策咨询等。尽管有人声称该学科正在衰落,但我们展示了这一领域的巨大潜力,并勾勒出未来充满希望的路径和新方向。在此过程中,我们批判性地评估了数据质量和可得性方面的近期创新,强调需要通过采用一种更能反映全球社会现象迅速变化或“快速”本质(如与冲突相关的流离失所、环境灾难、移民潮、大流行病和不断演变的人口政策)的观点,来“彻底变革”人口统计学方法的教学方式。我们在结尾讨论了细致的人口统计学分析对政策制定的相关性,强调了三个要点:(i)需要让人口统计学在公众眼中更易被看到和理解;(ii)与当地社区互动并共同创造以“打破”学术泡沫的重要性;(iii)抵制错误信息传播的紧迫性——这一现象在新冠疫情爆发后变得更加明显。

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