Stanford Graduate School of Business, Stanford, CA, USA.
Department of Psychology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Nat Hum Behav. 2024 Nov;8(11):2139-2155. doi: 10.1038/s41562-024-01927-3. Epub 2024 Aug 29.
Emotions have been theorized to be important drivers of economic choices, such as intertemporal or risky decisions. Our systematic review and meta-analysis of the previous literature (378 results and 50,972 participants) indicates that the empirical basis for these claims is mixed and the cross-cultural generalizability of these claims has yet to be systematically tested. We analysed a dataset with representative samples from 74 countries (n = 77,242), providing a multinational test of theoretical claims that individuals' ongoing emotional states predict their economic preferences regarding time or risk. Overall, more positive self-reported emotions generally predicted a willingness to wait for delayed rewards or to take favourable risks, in line with some existing theories. Contrary to the assumption of a universal relationship between emotions and decision-making, we show that these relationships vary substantially and systematically across countries. Emotions were stronger predictors of economic decisions in more economically developed and individualistic countries.
情绪被认为是经济决策的重要驱动因素,例如跨期或风险决策。我们对以往文献(378 项研究结果和 50972 名参与者)进行了系统回顾和荟萃分析,结果表明,这些主张的经验基础参差不齐,这些主张的跨文化普遍性尚未得到系统检验。我们分析了一个来自 74 个国家(n=77242)的代表性样本数据集,对个人当前情绪状态预测其对时间或风险的经济偏好的理论主张进行了跨国检验。总体而言,更积极的自我报告情绪通常预示着愿意等待延迟奖励或承担有利风险,这与一些现有理论一致。与情绪与决策之间存在普遍关系的假设相反,我们表明这些关系在国家之间存在显著且系统的差异。在经济更发达和更具个人主义的国家,情绪对经济决策的预测作用更强。