Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS, USA.
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Howard University, Washington, DC, USA.
Sci Rep. 2024 Sep 6;14(1):20882. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-71704-9.
Heatwaves pose a serious threat and are projected to amplify with changing climate and social demographics. A comprehensive understanding of heatwave exposure to the communities is imperative for the development of effective strategies and mitigation plans. This study explores spatiotemporal characterization of heatwaves across the historically vulnerable communities in Mississippi, United States. We derive multiple heatwave metrics including frequency, duration, and magnitude based on temperature data for urban-specific daytime, nighttime, and day-night combined conditions. Our analysis depicts a rising heatwave trend across all counties, with the most extreme shifts observed in prolonged day-night events lacking overnight relief. We integrate physical heatwave hazards with a socioeconomic vulnerability index to develop an integrated urban heatwave risk index. Integrated metric identifies the counties in northwest Mississippi as heat-prone areas, exhibiting an urgent need to prioritize heat resilience and adaptive strategies in these regions. The compounding urban heatwave and vulnerability risks in these communities highlights an environmental justice imperative to implement equitable policies that protect disadvantaged populations. Although this study is focused on Mississippi, our framework is scalable and can be employed to urban regions globally. This study provides a solid foundation for developing timely heatwave preparedness and mitigation to avert preventable heat-related tragedies as extremes intensify with climate change.
热浪构成严重威胁,并预计随着气候变化和社会人口结构的变化而加剧。全面了解社区的热浪暴露情况对于制定有效的战略和缓解计划至关重要。本研究探讨了美国密西西比州历史上脆弱社区的热浪时空特征。我们根据温度数据,为城市特定的日间、夜间和日夜组合条件,衍生出多种热浪指标,包括频率、持续时间和强度。我们的分析表明,所有县的热浪趋势都在上升,在缺乏夜间缓解的长时间日夜事件中观察到最极端的变化。我们将物理热浪危害与社会经济脆弱性指数相结合,开发了一个综合城市热浪风险指数。综合指标确定了密西西比州西北部的县为易受热浪影响的地区,这些地区迫切需要优先考虑这些地区的耐热性和适应性策略。这些社区的复合城市热浪和脆弱性风险突显了实施公平政策的环境正义必要性,以保护弱势群体。尽管本研究集中在密西西比州,但我们的框架具有可扩展性,可以应用于全球的城市地区。本研究为及时制定热浪防范和缓解措施提供了坚实的基础,以避免因气候变化导致极端事件加剧而发生可预防的与热相关的悲剧。