Guo Tian, Zhang Yunwei, Xu Gang, Liu Wenxian, Ding Hansheng, Chen Shaofan
School of Health Policy and Management, Nanjing Medical University, No. 101 Longmian Avenue, Nanjing 211166, China.
Jiangsu Provincial Institute of Health, Nanjing Medical University, No. 101 Longmian Avenue, Nanjing 211166, China.
Healthcare (Basel). 2024 Oct 20;12(20):2088. doi: 10.3390/healthcare12202088.
Older adults with chronic diseases often experience higher rates of Activities of Daily Living (ADL) disability, with research primarily examining the transition between states of ADL disability and non-disability. The current study aims to analyze the patterns and factors of mutual transitions between multiple different ADL disability states in older adults with chronic diseases.
This longitudinal study utilized data from the Shanghai Elderly Care Unified Needs Assessment (SECUNA) spanning 2014 to 2017, with 2014 being the baseline. The study included older adults aged 60 years and older with chronic diseases. Using the Markov model, individuals were classified into three states: no ADL disability, mild ADL disability, and severe ADL disability. Transition patterns were analyzed by calculating the frequency, intensity, and probability of transition, and the influencing factors of six transition scenarios were evaluated.
Older adults with mild ADL disability were more likely to experience improvement (transition intensity: 0.4731) rather than deterioration (transition intensity: 0.2226) in their ADL disability states. However, those with severe ADL disability faced challenges in improving their states (transition intensities: 0.0068 and 0.1204). Among the six ADL disability transition scenarios, place of residence was associated with four scenarios, age and economic sources were associated with three scenarios, sex was associated with two scenarios, and other factors were associated with one scenario.
The transition patterns and factors differ among individuals with varying ADL disability states. It is essential for relevant agencies to implement tailored preventive healthcare strategies to effectively manage the health status of older adults with chronic diseases.
患有慢性疾病的老年人日常生活活动(ADL)残疾率往往较高,以往研究主要关注ADL残疾与非残疾状态之间的转变。本研究旨在分析患有慢性疾病的老年人多种不同ADL残疾状态之间相互转变的模式及因素。
这项纵向研究利用了2014年至2017年上海老年照护统一需求评估(SECUNA)的数据,以2014年作为基线。研究纳入了60岁及以上患有慢性疾病的老年人。采用马尔可夫模型,将个体分为三种状态:无ADL残疾、轻度ADL残疾和重度ADL残疾。通过计算转变的频率、强度和概率来分析转变模式,并评估六种转变情况的影响因素。
轻度ADL残疾的老年人ADL残疾状态更有可能改善(转变强度:0.4731)而非恶化(转变强度:0.2226)。然而,重度ADL残疾的老年人改善其状态面临挑战(转变强度:0.0068和0.1204)。在六种ADL残疾转变情况中,居住地与四种情况相关,年龄和经济来源与三种情况相关,性别与两种情况相关,其他因素与一种情况相关。
不同ADL残疾状态个体的转变模式和因素存在差异。相关机构实施针对性的预防性医疗保健策略对于有效管理患有慢性疾病的老年人的健康状况至关重要。