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在中东一家创伤中心使用改良的5项衰弱指数预测老年创伤患者延长住院时间:一项11年的回顾性研究

Predictors of prolonged hospitalization among geriatric trauma patients using the modified 5-Item Frailty index in a Middle Eastern trauma center: an 11-year retrospective study.

作者信息

Abdelrahman Husham, El-Menyar Ayman, Consunji Rafael, Khan Naushad Ahmad, Asim Mohammad, Mustafa Fouad, Shunni Adam, Al-Aieb AbuBaker, Al-Thani Hassan, Rizoli Sandro

机构信息

Department of Surgery, Trauma Surgery, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.

Department of Surgery, Clinical Research, Trauma & Vascular Surgery, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.

出版信息

Eur J Trauma Emerg Surg. 2025 Jan 24;51(1):82. doi: 10.1007/s00068-024-02742-1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Using a validated tool, we explored the prevalence, risk factors, and predictors of longer hospitalization among hospitalized geriatric patients.

METHODS

Retrospective and comparative analyses of age groups (55-64 vs. ≥ 65 years), gender, survival status, and frailty index categories were performed. The Modified 5-Item Frailty Index was assessed, and multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to predict prolonged hospitalization (> 7 days).

RESULTS

There were 17,600 trauma hospitalizations with a mean age of 32 ± 15 years between 2010 and 2021; of them, 9.2% were geriatrics at ≥ 55-64 years (n = 935) and ≥ 65 years (n = 691). The female/male ratio was 17.5%/82.5%, and the mean injury severity score was 13 ± 9. The injury rate for age ≥ 65 was 24 per 10,000 compared to 10 per 10,000 in the younger group age (≥ 55-64). 35% of injuries occurred at home due to falls. Overall mortality was 8%, with a higher rate among males than females (9% vs. 4%). The deceased were three years older at the time of death compared to the survivors. Higher frailty grades were associated with home-related falls and head injuries. Patients 65 years or older were likely to have higher frailty scores, as indicated by higher percentages in the mFI-5. Among the older group, 25% were moderately frail, and 18% severely frail. In the younger group, 50% were frail. Higher frailty scores correlated with increased acute kidney injury, pneumonia, urinary tract infections, and longer hospital stays. Severe frailty significantly predicted longer hospitalization (odds ratio 1.83, p = 0.007).

CONCLUSION

One out of eleven trauma admissions was aged > 55. Head injury and bleeding were the leading causes of mortality in the study cohort. There was a significant decrease in the trend of geriatric trauma over the years. The modified FI-5 performs well as a predictive tool of prolonged hospitalizaion in trauma patients with different age groups.

摘要

背景

我们使用一种经过验证的工具,探讨了老年住院患者中住院时间延长的患病率、危险因素和预测因素。

方法

对年龄组(55 - 64岁与≥65岁)、性别、生存状态和衰弱指数类别进行回顾性和比较性分析。评估改良的5项衰弱指数,并进行多变量逻辑回归分析以预测延长住院时间(>7天)。

结果

2010年至2021年间,共有17600例创伤住院患者,平均年龄为32±15岁;其中,9.2%为55 - 64岁(n = 935)和≥65岁(n = 691)的老年患者。男女比例为17.5%/82.5%,平均损伤严重程度评分为13±9。≥65岁年龄组的损伤率为每10000人中有24例,而较年轻年龄组(≥55 - 64岁)为每10000人中有10例。35%的损伤在家中因跌倒发生。总体死亡率为8%,男性高于女性(9%对4%)。死亡者死亡时的年龄比幸存者大三岁。较高的衰弱等级与家庭相关跌倒和头部损伤有关。65岁及以上患者的衰弱评分可能更高,如mFI - 5中的较高百分比所示。在老年组中,25%为中度衰弱,18%为重度衰弱。在较年轻组中,50%为衰弱。较高的衰弱评分与急性肾损伤、肺炎、尿路感染增加以及住院时间延长相关。严重衰弱显著预测住院时间延长(比值比1.83,p = 0.007)。

结论

每11例创伤入院患者中有1例年龄>55岁。头部损伤和出血是研究队列中的主要死亡原因。多年来老年创伤的趋势有显著下降。改良的FI - 5作为不同年龄组创伤患者延长住院时间的预测工具表现良好。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/db62/11761128/f8272406a3d3/68_2024_2742_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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