Elo Irma T, Luck Anneliese N, Tuder Sylvie
Population Studies Center, University of Pennsylvania.
Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina - Chapel Hill.
Popul Dev Rev. 2025 Jul 31. doi: 10.1111/padr.70018.
In recent years, US life expectancy has stagnated relative to other developed countries and geographic inequalities in mortality within the United States have widened. Much of the recent literature has focused on non-Hispanic White mortality. Less attention has been devoted to non-Hispanic Black mortality independent of Black-White disparities. In this paper, we examine trends in non-Hispanic Black male and female life expectancy between 1990 and 2019 by metropolitan category and region/division, including age-group and cause-of-death contributions to these trends. We document considerable geographic divergence in life expectancy over time with the largest improvements in large central and large fringe metropolitan areas and smallest improvements in small/medium metros and nonmetropolitan areas. We also document sizable differences across regions, with the largest gains in the Northeast and the South Atlantic region and the smallest in other parts of the South and the Midwest. Most gains were achieved by 2010 with stagnating or declining life expectancies thereafter. We find particularly adverse trends in the Midwest after 2010 where Black life expectancies declined in all metro categories. We provide a discussion of the potential explanatory factors and call for greater attention to the study of non-Hispanic Black mortality.
近年来,相对于其他发达国家,美国的预期寿命停滞不前,且美国国内死亡率的地理不平等现象加剧。近期的许多文献都聚焦于非西班牙裔白人的死亡率。对于独立于黑白差距之外的非西班牙裔黑人死亡率的关注则较少。在本文中,我们按大都市类别以及地区/分区考察了1990年至2019年期间非西班牙裔黑人男性和女性的预期寿命趋势,包括年龄组和死因对这些趋势的影响。我们记录了随着时间推移预期寿命在地理上的显著差异,其中大型中心和大型边缘大都市地区改善最大,中小都市和非都市地区改善最小。我们还记录了各地区之间的巨大差异,东北部和南大西洋地区增幅最大,南部其他地区和中西部地区增幅最小。大多数增幅在2010年就已实现,此后预期寿命停滞或下降。我们发现2010年后中西部地区出现了特别不利的趋势,所有大都市类别的黑人预期寿命都有所下降。我们讨论了潜在的解释因素,并呼吁更加关注对非西班牙裔黑人死亡率的研究。