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需要机械通气的社区获得性肺炎的死亡率预测;肺炎和重症监护病房严重程度评分的价值。

Mortality prediction in community-acquired pneumonia requiring mechanical ventilation; values of pneumonia and intensive care unit severity scores.

作者信息

Aydoğdu Müge, Ozyilmaz Ezgi, Aksoy Handan, Gürsel Gül, Ekim Numan

机构信息

Intensive Care Unit, Department of Chest Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Gazi University, Ankara, Turkey.

出版信息

Tuberk Toraks. 2010;58(1):25-34.

Abstract

Severe community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is an important cause of intensive care unit (ICU) admissions. Many different pneumonia scoring systems have been developed in order to assess the severity of pneumonia and to decide the ICU follow-up and treatment. But still debate is going on about their performances and also they have not been tested yet if they can predict ICU mortality in severe CAP patients requiring mechanical ventilation. The aim of this study is to evaluate the performances of pneumonia and ICU scores in predicting mortality in CAP patients requiring mechanical ventilation. A retrospective observational cohort study. The files of mechanically ventilated CAP patients were reviewed and demographic, clinic and laboratory characteristics were recorded. Scoring systems of pneumonia [revised American Thoracic Society (ATS) criteria, CURB-65, pneumonia severity index (PSI)] and ICU [Acute Physiology Assessment and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment] were compared for mortality prediction. Thirty eight female and 63 male, a total of 101 severe CAP patients, with the mean age of 68 +/- 16 years, were included in the study. ICU mortality rate was assessed as 55%. Ninety percent of all patients met the revised ATS criteria and 92% of them met the PSI scoring system for ICU admissions. Although the CURB-65, PSI, revised ATS criteria were not found valuable to predict mortality, the increased APACHE II score was found to be related with increased mortality rate (for APACHE II > 20 odds ratio: 3, 95% CI: 1.2-7, p= 0.024). These results suggest that instead of the pneumonia scoring systems the APACHE II score can best predict the ICU mortality. So, more attention should be paid for severe CAP patients with APACHE II score > 20.

摘要

重症社区获得性肺炎(CAP)是重症监护病房(ICU)收治患者的重要原因。为了评估肺炎的严重程度并决定ICU的后续治疗,人们开发了许多不同的肺炎评分系统。但关于它们的性能仍存在争议,而且对于它们能否预测需要机械通气的重症CAP患者的ICU死亡率,尚未进行过测试。本研究的目的是评估肺炎和ICU评分在预测需要机械通气的CAP患者死亡率方面的性能。一项回顾性观察队列研究。回顾了机械通气的CAP患者的病历,并记录了人口统计学、临床和实验室特征。比较了肺炎评分系统[修订后的美国胸科学会(ATS)标准、CURB-65、肺炎严重程度指数(PSI)]和ICU评分系统[急性生理学评估和慢性健康状况评价(APACHE)II、序贯器官衰竭评估]对死亡率的预测情况。本研究纳入了38名女性和63名男性,共101例重症CAP患者,平均年龄为68±16岁。ICU死亡率评估为55%。所有患者中有90%符合修订后的ATS标准,其中92%符合ICU收治的PSI评分系统。虽然未发现CURB-65、PSI、修订后的ATS标准对预测死亡率有价值,但发现APACHE II评分升高与死亡率增加相关(对于APACHE II>20,比值比:3,95%CI:1.2-7,p=0.024)。这些结果表明,与肺炎评分系统相比,APACHE II评分能最好地预测ICU死亡率。因此,对于APACHE II评分>20的重症CAP患者应给予更多关注。

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