VA Cooperative Studies Program Coordinating Center, Hines, IL 60141, U.S.A.
Stat Med. 2012 Nov 20;31(26):3192-210. doi: 10.1002/sim.5393. Epub 2012 Aug 3.
In studies using ecological momentary assessment (EMA), or other intensive longitudinal data collection methods, interest frequently centers on changes in the variances, both within-subjects and between-subjects. For this, Hedeker et al. (Biometrics 2008; 64: 627-634) developed an extended two-level mixed-effects model that treats observations as being nested within subjects and allows covariates to influence both the within-subjects and between-subjects variance, beyond their influence on means. However, in EMA studies, subjects often provide many responses within and across days. To account for the possible systematic day-to-day variation, we developed a more flexible three-level mixed-effects location scale model that treats observations within days within subjects, and allows covariates to influence the variance at the subject, day, and observation level (over and above their usual effects on means) using a log-linear representation throughout. We provide details of a maximum likelihood solution and demonstrate how SAS PROC NLMIXED can be used to achieve maximum likelihood estimates in an alternative parameterization of our proposed three-level model. The accuracy of this approach using NLMIXED was verified by a series of simulation studies. Data from an adolescent mood study using EMA were analyzed to demonstrate this approach. The analyses clearly show the benefit of the proposed three-level model over the existing two-level approach. The proposed model has useful applications in many studies with three-level structures where interest centers on the joint modeling of the mean and variance structure.
在使用生态瞬时评估(EMA)或其他密集纵向数据收集方法的研究中,人们通常关注的是个体内和个体间方差的变化。为此,Hedeker 等人(Biometrics 2008;64:627-634)开发了一个扩展的两层混合效应模型,该模型将观测值视为嵌套在个体内,并允许协变量同时影响个体内和个体间方差,超出其对均值的影响。然而,在 EMA 研究中,受试者通常在几天内提供多次反应。为了考虑可能存在的系统日常变化,我们开发了一个更灵活的三层混合效应位置尺度模型,该模型将个体内每天的观测值视为嵌套的,并允许协变量通过对数线性表示来影响个体、天和观测水平上的方差(超出其对均值的通常影响)。我们提供了最大似然解的详细信息,并展示了如何使用 SAS PROC NLMIXED 在我们提出的三层模型的替代参数化中实现最大似然估计。通过一系列模拟研究验证了 NLMIXED 中这种方法的准确性。使用 EMA 进行的青少年情绪研究的数据被分析以展示这种方法。分析清楚地表明了所提出的三层模型相对于现有两层方法的优势。该模型在许多具有三层结构的研究中具有有用的应用,这些研究的重点是联合建模均值和方差结构。