Ont Health Technol Assess Ser. 2008;8(2):1-78. Epub 2008 Oct 1.
In early August 2007, the Medical Advisory Secretariat began work on the Aging in the Community project, an evidence-based review of the literature surrounding healthy aging in the community. The Health System Strategy Division at the Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care subsequently asked the secretariat to provide an evidentiary platform for the ministry's newly released Aging at Home Strategy.After a broad literature review and consultation with experts, the secretariat identified 4 key areas that strongly predict an elderly person's transition from independent community living to a long-term care home. Evidence-based analyses have been prepared for each of these 4 areas: falls and fall-related injuries, urinary incontinence, dementia, and social isolation. For the first area, falls and fall-related injuries, an economic model is described in a separate report.Please visit the Medical Advisory Secretariat Web site, http://www.health.gov.on.ca/english/providers/program/mas/mas_about.html, to review these titles within the Aging in the Community series.AGING IN THE COMMUNITY: Summary of Evidence-Based AnalysesPrevention of Falls and Fall-Related Injuries in Community-Dwelling Seniors: An Evidence-Based AnalysisBehavioural Interventions for Urinary Incontinence in Community-Dwelling Seniors: An Evidence-Based AnalysisCaregiver- and Patient-Directed Interventions for Dementia: An Evidence-Based AnalysisSocial Isolation in Community-Dwelling Seniors: An Evidence-Based AnalysisThe Falls/Fractures Economic Model in Ontario Residents Aged 65 Years and Over (FEMOR) OBJECTIVE: To identify interventions that may be effective in reducing the probability of an elderly person's falling and/or sustaining a fall-related injury.
Although estimates of fall rates vary widely based on the location, age, and living arrangements of the elderly population, it is estimated that each year approximately 30% of community-dwelling individuals aged 65 and older, and 50% of those aged 85 and older will fall. Of those individuals who fall, 12% to 42% will have a fall-related injury. Several meta-analyses and cohort studies have identified falls and fall-related injuries as a strong predictor of admission to a long-term care (LTC) home. It has been shown that the risk of LTC home admission is over 5 times higher in seniors who experienced 2 or more falls without injury, and over 10 times higher in seniors who experienced a fall causing serious injury. Falls result from the interaction of a variety of risk factors that can be both intrinsic and extrinsic. Intrinsic factors are those that pertain to the physical, demographic, and health status of the individual, while extrinsic factors relate to the physical and socio-economic environment. Intrinsic risk factors can be further grouped into psychosocial/demographic risks, medical risks, risks associated with activity level and dependence, and medication risks. Commonly described extrinsic risks are tripping hazards, balance and slip hazards, and vision hazards. NOTE: It is recognized that the terms "senior" and "elderly" carry a range of meanings for different audiences; this report generally uses the former, but the terms are treated here as essentially interchangeable. EVIDENCE-BASED ANALYSIS OF EFFECTIVENESS:
Since many risk factors for falls are modifiable, what interventions (devices, systems, programs) exist that reduce the risk of falls and/or fall-related injuries for community-dwelling seniors?
English language;published between January 2000 and September 2007;population of community-dwelling seniors (majority aged 65+); andrandomized controlled trials (RCTs), quasi-experimental trials, systematic reviews, or meta-analyses.
special populations (e.g., stroke or osteoporosis; however, studies restricted only to women were included);studies only reporting surrogate outcomes; orstudies whose outcome cannot be extracted for meta-analysis.
number of fallers, andnumber of falls resulting in injury/fracture.
A search was performed in OVID MEDLINE, MEDLINE In-Process and Other Non-Indexed Citations, EMBASE, the Cumulative Index to Nursing & Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), The Cochrane Library, and the International Agency for Health Technology Assessment (INAHTA) for studies published between January 2000 and September 2007. Furthermore, all studies included in a 2003 Cochrane review were considered for inclusion in this analysis. Abstracts were reviewed by a single author, and studies meeting the inclusion criteria outlined above were obtained. Studies were grouped based on intervention type, and data on population characteristics, fall outcomes, and study design were extracted. Reference lists were also checked for relevant studies. The quality of the evidence was assessed as high, moderate, low, or very low according to the GRADE methodology.
The following 11 interventions were identified in the literature search: exercise programs, vision assessment and referral, cataract surgery, environmental modifications, vitamin D supplementation, vitamin D plus calcium supplementation, hormone replacement therapy (HRT), medication withdrawal, gait-stabilizing devices, hip protectors, and multifactorial interventions. Exercise programs were stratified into targeted programs where the exercise routine was tailored to the individuals' needs, and untargeted programs that were identical among subjects. Furthermore, analyses were stratified by exercise program duration (<6 months and ≥6 months) and fall risk of study participants. Similarly, the analyses on the environmental modification studies were stratified by risk. Low-risk study participants had had no fall in the year prior to study entry, while high-risk participants had had at least one fall in the previous year. A total of 17 studies investigating multifactorial interventions were identified in the literature search. Of these studies, 10 reported results for a high-risk population with previous falls, while 6 reported results for study participants representative of the general population. One study provided stratified results by fall risk, and therefore results from this study were included in each stratified analysis. Executive Summary Table 1:Summary of Meta-Analyses of Studies Investigating the Effectiveness of Interventions on the Risk of Falls in Community-Dwelling Seniors()InterventionRR [95% CI]GRADEExercise programs 1. Targeted programs General population0.81 [0.67-0.98]Low High-risk population0.93 [0.82-1.06]High Short duration0.91 [0.73-1.13]High Long duration0.89 [0.79-1.01]Moderate 2. Untargeted programs General population0.78 [0.66-0.91]Moderate High-risk population0.89 [0.72-1.10]Very low Short duration0.85 [0.71-1.01]Low Long duration0.76 [0.64-0.91]Moderate 3. Combined targeted vs. untargeted programs General populationN/AN/A High-risk population0.87 [0.57-1.34]Moderate Short duration1.11 [0.73-1.70]High Long duration0.73 [0.57-0.95]HighVision intervention Assessment/referral1.12 [0.82-1.53]Moderate Cataract surgery1.11 [0.92-1.35]ModerateEnvironmental modifications Low-risk population1.03 [0.75-1.41]High High-risk population0.66 [0.54-0.81]High General population0.85 [0.75-0.97]HighDrugs/Nutritional supplements Vitamin D (men and women)0.94 [0.77-1.14]High Vitamin D (women only)0.55 [0.29-1.08]Moderate Vitamin D and calcium (men and women)0.89 [0.74-1.07]Moderate Vitamin D and calcium (women only)0.83 [0.73-0.95]Moderate Hormone replacement therapy0.98 [0.80-1.20]Low Medication withdrawal0.34 [0.16-0.74]†LowGait-stabilizing device0.43 [0.29-0.64]ModerateMultifactorial intervention Geriatric screening (general population)0.87 [0.69-1.10]Very low High-risk population0.86 [0.75-0.98]LowCI refers to confidence interval; RR, relative risk.†Hazard ratio is reported, because RR was not available.Executive Summary Table 2:Summary of Meta-Analyses of Studies Investigating the Effectiveness of Interventions on the Risk of Fall-Related Injuries in Community-Dwelling SeniorsInterventionRR [95% CI]GRADEExercise programs Targeted programs0.67 [0.51-0.89]Moderate Untargeted programs0.57 [0.38-0.86]Low Combined targeted vs untargeted programs0.31 [0.13-0.74]HighDrugs/nutritional supplements Vitamin D plus calcium (women only)0.77 [0.49-1.21]ModerateGait-stabilizing device0.10 [0.01-0.74]ModerateHip protectors3.49 [0.68-17.97]†LowMultifactorial intervention Geriatric screening (general population)0.90 [0.53-1.51]Low High-risk population0.86 [0.66-1.11]ModerateCI refers to confidence interval; RR, relative risk.†Odds ratio is reported, because RR was not available.
High-quality evidence indicates that long-term exercise programs in mobile seniors and environmental modifications in the homes of frail elderly persons will effectively reduce falls and possibly fall-related injuries in Ontario's elderly population.A combination of vitamin D and calcium supplementation in elderly women will help reduce the risk of falls by more than 40%.The use of outdoor gait-stabilizing devices for mobile seniors during the winter in Ontario may reduce falls and fall-related injuries; however, evidence is limited and more research is required in this area.While psychotropic medication withdrawal may be an effective method for reducing falls, evidence is limited and long-term compliance has been demonstrated to be difficult to achieve.Multifactorial interventions in high-risk populations may be effective; however, the effect is only marginally significant, and the quality of evidence is low.
2007年8月初,医学咨询秘书处开始开展“社区老龄化”项目,这是一项围绕社区健康老龄化的文献循证综述。卫生与长期护理部的卫生系统战略司随后要求该秘书处为该部新发布的“居家养老战略”提供一个证据平台。在广泛查阅文献并咨询专家后,秘书处确定了4个能有力预测老年人从独立社区生活过渡到长期护理院的关键领域。已针对这4个领域中的每一个领域进行了循证分析:跌倒及与跌倒相关的伤害、尿失禁、痴呆症和社会隔离。对于第一个领域,即跌倒及与跌倒相关的伤害,在一份单独的报告中描述了一个经济模型。请访问医学咨询秘书处网站:http://www.health.gov.on.ca/english/providers/program/mas/mas_about.html,以查阅“社区老龄化”系列中的这些文献。
循证分析总结
循证分析
循证分析
循证分析
循证分析
安大略省65岁及以上居民的跌倒/骨折经济模型(FEMOR)
确定可能有效降低老年人跌倒和/或遭受与跌倒相关伤害概率的干预措施。
尽管根据老年人群的居住地点、年龄和生活安排,跌倒发生率的估计差异很大,但据估计,每年约30%的65岁及以上社区居住个体以及50%的85岁及以上个体将会跌倒。在那些跌倒的个体中,12%至42%会遭受与跌倒相关的伤害。多项荟萃分析和队列研究已将跌倒及与跌倒相关伤害确定为入住长期护理(LTC)院的有力预测因素。研究表明,在经历过2次或更多次无伤害跌倒的老年人中入住长期护理院的风险高出5倍多,在经历过导致严重伤害跌倒的老年人中高出10倍多。跌倒由多种内在和外在风险因素相互作用导致。内在因素是指与个体的身体、人口统计学和健康状况相关的因素,而外在因素与身体和社会经济环境有关。内在风险因素可进一步分为心理社会/人口统计学风险、医疗风险、与活动水平和依赖相关的风险以及药物风险。常见的外在风险包括绊倒危险、平衡和滑倒危险以及视力危险。注意:人们认识到“老年人”和“高龄老人”这两个术语对不同受众有一系列含义;本报告一般使用前者,但此处这两个术语基本可互换使用。
由于许多跌倒风险因素是可改变的,存在哪些干预措施(设备、系统、项目)可降低社区居住老年人跌倒和/或与跌倒相关伤害的风险?
英文;2000年1月至2007年9月期间发表;社区居住老年人(多数年龄在65岁及以上);以及随机对照试验(RCT)、准实验试验、系统评价或荟萃分析。
特殊人群(如中风或骨质疏松症;然而,仅针对女性的研究包括在内);仅报告替代结局的研究;或结局无法提取用于荟萃分析的研究。
跌倒者数量,以及导致伤害/骨折的跌倒次数。
在OVID MEDLINE、MEDLINE在研及其他未索引引文、EMBASE、护理及相关健康文献累积索引(CINAHL)、Cochrane图书馆和国际卫生技术评估机构(INAHTA)中检索2000年1月至2007年9月期间发表的研究。此外,2003年Cochrane综述中纳入的所有研究均考虑纳入本分析。由一位作者对摘要进行审查,并获取符合上述纳入标准的研究。根据干预类型对研究进行分组,并提取有关人群特征、跌倒结局和研究设计的数据。还检查参考文献列表以查找相关研究。根据GRADE方法将证据质量评估为高、中、低或极低。
在文献检索中确定了以下11种干预措施:运动项目、视力评估与转诊、白内障手术、环境改造、维生素D补充剂、维生素D加钙补充剂、激素替代疗法(HRT)、药物撤停、步态稳定装置、髋部保护器和多因素干预。运动项目分为针对性项目,即运动常规根据个体需求定制,以及非针对性项目,即受试者之间相同。此外,分析按运动项目持续时间(<6个月和≥6个月)以及研究参与者的跌倒风险分层。同样,对环境改造研究的分析按风险分层。低风险研究参与者在研究入组前一年未跌倒,而高风险参与者在前一年至少跌倒过一次。在文献检索中总共确定了17项调查多因素干预的研究。在这些研究中,10项报告了高危跌倒人群的结果,6项报告了代表一般人群的研究参与者的结果。一项研究按跌倒风险提供了分层结果,因此该研究的结果包含在每个分层分析中。
执行摘要表1:调查干预措施对社区居住老年人跌倒风险有效性的研究荟萃分析总结(*)
干预措施
RR [95%置信区间]
GRADE
运动项目
一般人群
0.81 [0.67 - 0.98]
低
高危人群
0.93 [0.82 - 1.06]
高
短持续时间
0.91 [0.73 - 1.