School of Mathematical Sciences, Rochester Institute of Technology, 85 Lomb Memorial Dr., Rochester, NY14623, United States.
Department of Public Policy, Rochester Institute of Technology, 92 Lomb Memorial Dr., Rochester, NY14623, United States.
Mar Pollut Bull. 2017 Feb 15;115(1-2):273-281. doi: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2016.11.061. Epub 2016 Dec 15.
Plastic pollution in the world's oceans has received much attention, but there has been increasing concern about the high concentrations of plastic debris in the Laurentian Great Lakes. Using census data and methodologies used to study ocean debris we derive a first estimate of 9887 metric tonnes per year of plastic debris entering the Great Lakes. These estimates are translated into population-dependent particle inputs which are advected using currents from a hydrodynamic model to map the spatial distribution of plastic debris in the Great Lakes. Model results compare favorably with previously published sampling data. The samples are used to calibrate the model to derive surface microplastic mass estimates of 0.0211 metric tonnes in Lake Superior, 1.44 metric tonnes in Huron, and 4.41 metric tonnes in Erie. These results have many applications, including informing cleanup efforts, helping target pollution prevention, and understanding the inter-state or international flows of plastic pollution.
世界海洋中的塑料污染受到了广泛关注,但人们对大淡水湖中的塑料碎片浓度越来越高也越发担忧。我们利用普查数据和用于研究海洋碎片的方法,首次估算出每年有 9887 公吨的塑料碎片进入大湖。这些估算值被转化为与人口相关的颗粒输入量,然后使用水流从水动力模型中进行推断,以绘制大湖塑料碎片的空间分布。模型结果与之前公布的采样数据吻合较好。这些样本被用于校准模型,以得出苏必利尔湖表面微塑料质量估计值为 0.0211 公吨,休伦湖为 1.44 公吨,伊利湖为 4.41 公吨。这些结果有许多应用,包括为清理工作提供信息,帮助确定污染预防的重点,以及了解塑料污染在州际或国际间的流动情况。