Department of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Laboratory of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Intramural Research Program, National Institute on Aging, Bethesda, Maryland.
J Am Geriatr Soc. 2018 Oct;66(10):1980-1986. doi: 10.1111/jgs.15534. Epub 2018 Sep 12.
To understand which causes of death are higher in black than white community-dwelling older adults and determine whether differences in baseline risk factors explain racial differences in mortality.
Longitudinal cohort study (Health, Aging, and Body Composition Study).
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania; and Memphis, Tennessee.
Black and white men and women aged 70 to 79 during recruitment (N=3,075; 48% men, 42% black) followed for a median of 13 years.
A committee of physicians adjudicated cause of death, which was categorized as cardiovascular disease (CVD), stroke, cancer, dementia, pulmonary, infection, kidney, or other causes. Using competing risks regression, we examined whether known risk factors at baseline (demographic characteristics, smoking, body mass index, chronic diseases, physical function, cognition) could explain racial differences in cause-specific mortality risk.
During follow-up, 1,991 (65%) participants died. Black participants died at higher rates from cancer (hazard ratio (HR)=1.36, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.14-1.63), kidney disease (HR=2.09, 95% CI=1.16-3.74), stroke (HR=1.31, 95% CI=0.98-1.76); and CVD (HR=1.16, 95% CI=0.98-1.37). Poorer physical and cognitive performance at baseline among black participants explained most of the racial difference in risks of dying from kidney disease, stroke, and CVD but not cancer. When examining types of cancer deaths, black participants died at higher rates from multiple myeloma, pancreatic cancer, and prostate cancer, which baseline risk factors did not explain either.
Factors contributing to poorer physical and cognitive performance in similarly aged black men and women could be targets to reduce excess mortality from CVD, stroke, and kidney disease. More work is needed to identify factors contributing to cancer mortality disparities.
了解黑人群体中哪些死因高于白人社区居住的老年人群体,并确定基线风险因素的差异是否可以解释死亡率的种族差异。
纵向队列研究(健康、衰老和身体成分研究)。
宾夕法尼亚州匹兹堡和田纳西州孟菲斯。
招募时年龄在 70 至 79 岁的黑人和白人男性和女性(N=3075;48%为男性,42%为黑人),中位随访时间为 13 年。
一个由医生组成的委员会裁定死因,死因分为心血管疾病(CVD)、中风、癌症、痴呆、肺部、感染、肾脏或其他原因。使用竞争风险回归,我们检查了基线时已知的风险因素(人口统计学特征、吸烟、体重指数、慢性疾病、身体功能、认知)是否可以解释特定原因死亡率风险的种族差异。
在随访期间,1991 名(65%)参与者死亡。黑人参与者死于癌症(危险比(HR)=1.36,95%置信区间(CI)=1.14-1.63)、肾脏疾病(HR=2.09,95%CI=1.16-3.74)、中风(HR=1.31,95%CI=0.98-1.76)和心血管疾病(HR=1.16,95%CI=0.98-1.37)的比率更高。黑人参与者在基线时较差的身体和认知表现解释了他们死于肾脏疾病、中风和心血管疾病的风险差异的大部分,但不能解释癌症的风险差异。在检查癌症死亡类型时,黑人参与者死于多发性骨髓瘤、胰腺癌和前列腺癌的比率更高,而基线风险因素无法解释这些差异。
导致黑人和白人年龄相仿的男性和女性身体和认知表现较差的因素可能是降低心血管疾病、中风和肾脏疾病过度死亡率的目标。需要做更多的工作来确定导致癌症死亡率差异的因素。