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急诊科入院时血清氨水平对预测脓毒症患者第28天死亡率的影响:一项双中心回顾性研究

Serum ammonia levels on admission for predicting sepsis patient mortality at D28 in the emergency department: A 2-center retrospective study.

作者信息

Zhao Jie, He Yarong, Xu Ping, Liu Junzhao, Ye Sheng, Cao Yu

机构信息

Emergency Department, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu.

Emergency Department, The Fourth People's Hospital of Zigong City, Zigong.

出版信息

Medicine (Baltimore). 2020 Mar;99(11):e19477. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000019477.

Abstract

We assessed the predictive value of serum ammonia level on admission for the 28-day mortality of patients with sepsis.We retrospectively included septic patients admitted to the emergency department of West China Hospital, Sichuan University and The Fourth People's Hospital of Zigong city from June 2017 to May 2018. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to 28-day survival. Comparisons of serum ammonia level and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score were made between 2 groups. Multivariate logistic regression models were employed to determine independent risk factors affecting 28-day mortality rate, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was also used to evaluate the efficacy of risk factors.Total of 316 patients were included into the study, 221 survived to 28 days and 95 were died before 28 days. The 28-day mortality rate was 30.06%. Multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed that the ammonia level, C reactive protein, SOFA score, and the leukocyte were independent risk factors for the 28-day mortality rate. In predicting the 28-day mortality rate, the SOFA score presented an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.815, and the ammonia levels presented the AUC of 0.813.The ammonia level, C reactive protein, SOFA score, and the leukocyte are independent risk factors for 28-day mortality rate in septic patients. Moreover, the serum ammonia and SOFA score have similar predictive values. The serum ammonia level is also a suitable early indicator for prognostic evaluation of patients with sepsis as well.

摘要

我们评估了脓毒症患者入院时血清氨水平对28天死亡率的预测价值。我们回顾性纳入了2017年6月至2018年5月在四川大学华西医院急诊科和自贡市第四人民医院住院的脓毒症患者。根据28天生存率将患者分为两组。比较两组之间的血清氨水平和序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)评分。采用多因素逻辑回归模型确定影响28天死亡率的独立危险因素,并使用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估危险因素的效能。共有316例患者纳入本研究,221例存活至28天,95例在28天前死亡。28天死亡率为30.06%。多因素逻辑回归分析显示,氨水平、C反应蛋白、SOFA评分和白细胞是28天死亡率的独立危险因素。在预测28天死亡率方面,SOFA评分的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)为0.815,氨水平的AUC为0.813。氨水平、C反应蛋白、SOFA评分和白细胞是脓毒症患者28天死亡率的独立危险因素。此外,血清氨和SOFA评分具有相似的预测价值。血清氨水平也是脓毒症患者预后评估的合适早期指标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e9b6/7220506/6118ac88d0a8/medi-99-e19477-g005.jpg

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