U-Shaped Association between Waist-to-Hip Ratio and All-Cause Mortality in Stage 3-5 Chronic Kidney Disease Patients with Body Mass Index Paradox.

The obesity paradox, referring to the association of high body mass index (BMI) with low all-cause mortality risk, is found in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Central obesity is associated with metabolic syndrome and may have better prognostic value than BMI for all-cause mortality. Whether central obesity is associated with all-cause mortality in cases of obesity paradox in CKD patients remains unknown. We included 3262 patients with stage 3-5 CKD, grouped into five quintiles (Q1-5) by waist-to-hip ratio (WHR). Low WHR and BMI were associated with malnutrition and inflammation. In Cox regression, high BMI was not associated with all-cause mortality, but BMI < 22.5 kg/m increased the mortality risk. A U-shaped association between central obesity and all-cause mortality was found: WHR Q1, Q4, and Q5 had higher risk for all-cause mortality. The hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) of WHR Q5 and Q1 for all-cause mortality was 1.39 (1.03-1.87) and 1.53 (1.13-2.05) in male and 1.42 (1.02-1.99) and 1.28 (0.88-1.85) in female, respectively. Waist-to-height ratio and conicity index showed similar results. Low WHR or low BMI and high WHR, but not high BMI, are associated with all-cause mortality in advanced CKD.