Department of Biosystems Science and Engineering, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Lancet Public Health. 2023 Apr;8(4):e311-e317. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(23)00046-4.
Effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), such as school closures and stay-at-home orders, during the COVID-19 pandemic has been assessed in many studies. Such assessments can inform public health policies and contribute to evidence-based choices of NPIs during subsequent waves or future epidemics. However, methodological issues and no standardised assessment practices have restricted the practical value of the existing evidence. Here, we present and discuss lessons learned from the COVID-19 pandemic and make recommendations for standardising and improving assessment, data collection, and modelling. These recommendations could contribute to reliable and policy-relevant assessments of the effectiveness of NPIs during future epidemics.
非药物干预措施(NPIs),如学校关闭和居家令,在 COVID-19 大流行期间的有效性已在许多研究中进行了评估。此类评估可为公共卫生政策提供信息,并有助于在随后的浪潮或未来的流行疫情中选择基于证据的 NPI。然而,方法学问题和没有标准化的评估实践限制了现有证据的实际价值。在这里,我们从 COVID-19 大流行中吸取了经验教训,并提出了标准化和改进评估、数据收集和建模的建议。这些建议有助于在未来的流行疫情中对 NPI 的有效性进行可靠和相关政策的评估。